Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, with the Korea Meteorological Administration forecasting daytime highs of 32–39°C through early August, position 32°C as the leading outcome for the highest temperature at Incheon International Airport Station on August 2. Persistent high pressure and elevated humidity sustain these elevated readings near long-term August averages of 30–31°C, while model consensus and recent observations limit probabilities for 34°C or above. Updated KMA short-range guidance and any late-July model runs showing modest cooling could shift implied probabilities toward 31°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月2日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
32°C 38%
33°C 25%
31°C 25%
30°C 10%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
25%
32°C
38%
33°C
25%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 38%
33°C 25%
31°C 25%
30°C 10%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
25%
32°C
38%
33°C
25%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, with the Korea Meteorological Administration forecasting daytime highs of 32–39°C through early August, position 32°C as the leading outcome for the highest temperature at Incheon International Airport Station on August 2. Persistent high pressure and elevated humidity sustain these elevated readings near long-term August averages of 30–31°C, while model consensus and recent observations limit probabilities for 34°C or above. Updated KMA short-range guidance and any late-July model runs showing modest cooling could shift implied probabilities toward 31°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions