Short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to overnight minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 settling near 27–28°C, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system, elevated humidity above 75%, and minimal wind that restricts radiative cooling. These conditions align with August climatology, where average lows hover around 25–27°C without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected in the immediate term. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities favors 28°C as the leading outcome because recent model runs show little deviation from this range, though any late increase in cloud cover or precipitation could nudge readings slightly lower before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日上海最低溫度？
8月3日上海最低溫度？
28°C 51%
27°C 30%
29°C 9%
23°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
8%
27°C
30%
28°C
51%
29°C
9%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
28°C 51%
27°C 30%
29°C 9%
23°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
22°C或以下
$52 交易量
1%
23°C
$52 交易量
7%
24°C
$42 交易量
3%
25°C
$37 交易量
6%
26°C
$133 交易量
8%
27°C
$112 交易量
30%
28°C
$195 交易量
51%
29°C
$20 交易量
9%
30°C
$41 交易量
<1%
31°C
$50 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$52 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to overnight minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 settling near 27–28°C, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system, elevated humidity above 75%, and minimal wind that restricts radiative cooling. These conditions align with August climatology, where average lows hover around 25–27°C without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected in the immediate term. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities favors 28°C as the leading outcome because recent model runs show little deviation from this range, though any late increase in cloud cover or precipitation could nudge readings slightly lower before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$787結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to overnight minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 settling near 27–28°C, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system, elevated humidity above 75%, and minimal wind that restricts radiative cooling. These conditions align with August climatology, where average lows hover around 25–27°C without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected in the immediate term. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities favors 28°C as the leading outcome because recent model runs show little deviation from this range, though any late increase in cloud cover or precipitation could nudge readings slightly lower before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$787結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETShort-range forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to overnight minimum temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 settling near 27–28°C, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system, elevated humidity above 75%, and minimal wind that restricts radiative cooling. These conditions align with August climatology, where average lows hover around 25–27°C without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences expected in the immediate term. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied probabilities favors 28°C as the leading outcome because recent model runs show little deviation from this range, though any late increase in cloud cover or precipitation could nudge readings slightly lower before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions