Current ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models, including ECMWF and national services like KNMI, indicate a warm air mass advecting over the Netherlands, positioning Amsterdam's August 3 maximum near 30–32 °C. This reflects modest uncertainty in daytime boundary-layer heating and cloud cover, with historical August averages around 22 °C underscoring the anomalous conditions driven by a transient high-pressure ridge. Trader consensus, reflected in the market-implied odds favoring 31–32 °C outcomes, aligns with the latest model runs showing limited variability across scenarios, though afternoon convection or slight shifts in the steering flow could alter peak values before resolution. New guidance from the next forecast cycles will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月3日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
32°C 38%
31°C 31%
33°C 14%
30°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
31%
32°C
38%
33°C
14%
34°C
6%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C或以上
<1%
32°C 38%
31°C 31%
33°C 14%
30°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
27°C或以下
$20 交易量
<1%
28°C
$132 交易量
2%
29°C
$260 交易量
4%
30°C
$268 交易量
10%
31°C
$199 交易量
31%
32°C
$1,025 交易量
38%
33°C
$993 交易量
14%
34°C
$157 交易量
6%
35°C
$135 交易量
4%
36°C
$116 交易量
1%
37°C或以上
$106 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models, including ECMWF and national services like KNMI, indicate a warm air mass advecting over the Netherlands, positioning Amsterdam's August 3 maximum near 30–32 °C. This reflects modest uncertainty in daytime boundary-layer heating and cloud cover, with historical August averages around 22 °C underscoring the anomalous conditions driven by a transient high-pressure ridge. Trader consensus, reflected in the market-implied odds favoring 31–32 °C outcomes, aligns with the latest model runs showing limited variability across scenarios, though afternoon convection or slight shifts in the steering flow could alter peak values before resolution. New guidance from the next forecast cycles will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,411結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models, including ECMWF and national services like KNMI, indicate a warm air mass advecting over the Netherlands, positioning Amsterdam's August 3 maximum near 30–32 °C. This reflects modest uncertainty in daytime boundary-layer heating and cloud cover, with historical August averages around 22 °C underscoring the anomalous conditions driven by a transient high-pressure ridge. Trader consensus, reflected in the market-implied odds favoring 31–32 °C outcomes, aligns with the latest model runs showing limited variability across scenarios, though afternoon convection or slight shifts in the steering flow could alter peak values before resolution. New guidance from the next forecast cycles will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,411結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models, including ECMWF and national services like KNMI, indicate a warm air mass advecting over the Netherlands, positioning Amsterdam's August 3 maximum near 30–32 °C. This reflects modest uncertainty in daytime boundary-layer heating and cloud cover, with historical August averages around 22 °C underscoring the anomalous conditions driven by a transient high-pressure ridge. Trader consensus, reflected in the market-implied odds favoring 31–32 °C outcomes, aligns with the latest model runs showing limited variability across scenarios, though afternoon convection or slight shifts in the steering flow could alter peak values before resolution. New guidance from the next forecast cycles will likely refine these probabilities as the event nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions