Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national services show Moscow's August 3 high centering near 25–26°C under typical late-summer conditions, with limited moisture and moderate winds limiting further warming. Recent runs indicate a slight cooling trend after early-month peaks near 29–30°C, aligning with climatological averages of 22–24°C for early August while acknowledging model spread from variable cloud cover and frontal passages. Trader consensus around these values reflects high-resolution ensemble guidance updated daily, with resolution hinging on official Moscow Observatory readings at standard afternoon observation times. New model cycles and satellite data through August 2 will refine the narrow 24–27°C window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日莫斯科最高溫度?
25°C 32%
26°C 29%
24°C 15%
27°C 14%
21°C或以下
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C
15%
25°C
32%
26°C
29%
27°C
14%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C或以上
2%
25°C 32%
26°C 29%
24°C 15%
27°C 14%
21°C或以下
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
7%
24°C
15%
25°C
32%
26°C
29%
27°C
14%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national services show Moscow's August 3 high centering near 25–26°C under typical late-summer conditions, with limited moisture and moderate winds limiting further warming. Recent runs indicate a slight cooling trend after early-month peaks near 29–30°C, aligning with climatological averages of 22–24°C for early August while acknowledging model spread from variable cloud cover and frontal passages. Trader consensus around these values reflects high-resolution ensemble guidance updated daily, with resolution hinging on official Moscow Observatory readings at standard afternoon observation times. New model cycles and satellite data through August 2 will refine the narrow 24–27°C window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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