Trader sentiment for Cape Town's August 3 maximum temperature centers on official South African Weather Service guidance projecting a high near 23°C under fine, partly cloudy conditions with light to moderate easterly to southerly winds. These maritime flows typically moderate daytime warming by advecting cooler air from the Atlantic, keeping readings close to the seasonal average of 17–20°C while limiting bergwind episodes that could push values higher. Model consensus remains tight around 21–23°C because cloud cover and wind shifts introduce modest uncertainty in peak heating, with lower outcomes favored only if stronger onshore flow develops. Updated SAWS briefings and short-range model runs in the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could refine probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日開普敦最高溫度?
21°C 26%
22°C 25%
23°C 24%
20°C 11%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
11%
21°C
26%
22°C
25%
23°C
24%
24°C
11%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 26%
22°C 25%
23°C 24%
20°C 11%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
11%
21°C
26%
22°C
25%
23°C
24%
24°C
11%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 1, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Cape Town's August 3 maximum temperature centers on official South African Weather Service guidance projecting a high near 23°C under fine, partly cloudy conditions with light to moderate easterly to southerly winds. These maritime flows typically moderate daytime warming by advecting cooler air from the Atlantic, keeping readings close to the seasonal average of 17–20°C while limiting bergwind episodes that could push values higher. Model consensus remains tight around 21–23°C because cloud cover and wind shifts introduce modest uncertainty in peak heating, with lower outcomes favored only if stronger onshore flow develops. Updated SAWS briefings and short-range model runs in the next 48 hours represent the key catalysts that could refine probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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