Current short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models point to an overnight minimum near 18°C in central London on August 3, with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C, as small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or urban heat-island effects could shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical August minima average 14–16°C, but recent high-pressure patterns have supported milder nights; traders weigh the latest model runs against potential revisions in the 48-hour window before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月3日倫敦的最低溫度？
18°C 37%
19°C 32%
17°C 28%
15°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
8%
16°C
6%
17°C
28%
18°C
53%
19°C
32%
20°C
5%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C或以上
<1%
18°C 37%
19°C 32%
17°C 28%
15°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
14°C或以下
$62 交易量
1%
15°C
$99 交易量
8%
16°C
$5 交易量
6%
17°C
$8 交易量
28%
18°C
$5 交易量
53%
19°C
$0 交易量
32%
20°C
$1 交易量
5%
21°C
$52 交易量
4%
22°C
$47 交易量
1%
23°C
$32 交易量
1%
24°C或以上
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models point to an overnight minimum near 18°C in central London on August 3, with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C, as small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or urban heat-island effects could shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical August minima average 14–16°C, but recent high-pressure patterns have supported milder nights; traders weigh the latest model runs against potential revisions in the 48-hour window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$310結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models point to an overnight minimum near 18°C in central London on August 3, with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C, as small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or urban heat-island effects could shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical August minima average 14–16°C, but recent high-pressure patterns have supported milder nights; traders weigh the latest model runs against potential revisions in the 48-hour window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$310結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office and ensemble models point to an overnight minimum near 18°C in central London on August 3, with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C, as small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or urban heat-island effects could shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical August minima average 14–16°C, but recent high-pressure patterns have supported milder nights; traders weigh the latest model runs against potential revisions in the 48-hour window before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions