Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a high around 28–29°C on August 3 amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms, which limit solar heating and suppress daytime maxima relative to seasonal averages near 31–32°C. Persistent subtropical moisture from the South China Sea, combined with a steering pattern favoring onshore flow and rainfall, favors the tightly clustered market leaders at 28°C and 29°C by reducing the diurnal temperature range and capping peak values. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by the exact timing and intensity of convective cells, with any breaks in cloud allowing brief excursions toward 30°C while heavier rain would anchor readings closer to 28°C. Historical analogs for early-August rainy periods in the Pearl River Delta support this narrow band, leaving limited probability for outcomes above 31°C or below 27°C unless an unexpected shift in the monsoon trough occurs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日深圳最高溫度？
8月3日深圳最高溫度？
29°C 32%
28°C 24%
30°C 22%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
24%
29°C
32%
30°C
22%
31°C
11%
32°C
5%
33°C或以上
1%
29°C 32%
28°C 24%
30°C 22%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
23°C或以下
$489 交易量
<1%
24°C
$509 交易量
1%
25°C
$198 交易量
2%
26°C
$112 交易量
4%
27°C
$115 交易量
9%
28°C
$130 交易量
24%
29°C
$138 交易量
32%
30°C
$99 交易量
22%
31°C
$209 交易量
11%
32°C
$128 交易量
5%
33°C或以上
$1,754 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a high around 28–29°C on August 3 amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms, which limit solar heating and suppress daytime maxima relative to seasonal averages near 31–32°C. Persistent subtropical moisture from the South China Sea, combined with a steering pattern favoring onshore flow and rainfall, favors the tightly clustered market leaders at 28°C and 29°C by reducing the diurnal temperature range and capping peak values. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by the exact timing and intensity of convective cells, with any breaks in cloud allowing brief excursions toward 30°C while heavier rain would anchor readings closer to 28°C. Historical analogs for early-August rainy periods in the Pearl River Delta support this narrow band, leaving limited probability for outcomes above 31°C or below 27°C unless an unexpected shift in the monsoon trough occurs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,882結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a high around 28–29°C on August 3 amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms, which limit solar heating and suppress daytime maxima relative to seasonal averages near 31–32°C. Persistent subtropical moisture from the South China Sea, combined with a steering pattern favoring onshore flow and rainfall, favors the tightly clustered market leaders at 28°C and 29°C by reducing the diurnal temperature range and capping peak values. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by the exact timing and intensity of convective cells, with any breaks in cloud allowing brief excursions toward 30°C while heavier rain would anchor readings closer to 28°C. Historical analogs for early-August rainy periods in the Pearl River Delta support this narrow band, leaving limited probability for outcomes above 31°C or below 27°C unless an unexpected shift in the monsoon trough occurs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,882結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a high around 28–29°C on August 3 amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms, which limit solar heating and suppress daytime maxima relative to seasonal averages near 31–32°C. Persistent subtropical moisture from the South China Sea, combined with a steering pattern favoring onshore flow and rainfall, favors the tightly clustered market leaders at 28°C and 29°C by reducing the diurnal temperature range and capping peak values. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability driven by the exact timing and intensity of convective cells, with any breaks in cloud allowing brief excursions toward 30°C while heavier rain would anchor readings closer to 28°C. Historical analogs for early-August rainy periods in the Pearl River Delta support this narrow band, leaving limited probability for outcomes above 31°C or below 27°C unless an unexpected shift in the monsoon trough occurs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions