Recent ensemble forecasts from major models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate maximum temperatures in Munich on August 3 centered around 34–35 °C, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and warm-air advection from the south. These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating across the relatively dry late-summer landscape, while the urban heat-island effect in the city center adds 1–2 °C locally. Historical August maxima average near 25 °C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly. Minor spread among model runs arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds, keeping the 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing and highlighting sensitivity to the next 48-hour model updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日慕尼黑最高溫度？
8月3日慕尼黑最高溫度？
35°C 36%
34°C 28%
36°C 19%
33°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
9%
34°C
28%
35°C
36%
36°C
19%
37°C or higher
6%
35°C 36%
34°C 28%
36°C 19%
33°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
27°C or below
$400 交易量
<1%
28°C
$0 交易量
<1%
29°C
$10 交易量
2%
30°C
$60 交易量
2%
31°C
$86 交易量
2%
32°C
$0 交易量
5%
33°C
$0 交易量
9%
34°C
$1,820 交易量
28%
35°C
$112 交易量
36%
36°C
$190 交易量
19%
37°C or higher
$109 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate maximum temperatures in Munich on August 3 centered around 34–35 °C, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and warm-air advection from the south. These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating across the relatively dry late-summer landscape, while the urban heat-island effect in the city center adds 1–2 °C locally. Historical August maxima average near 25 °C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly. Minor spread among model runs arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds, keeping the 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing and highlighting sensitivity to the next 48-hour model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,787結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate maximum temperatures in Munich on August 3 centered around 34–35 °C, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and warm-air advection from the south. These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating across the relatively dry late-summer landscape, while the urban heat-island effect in the city center adds 1–2 °C locally. Historical August maxima average near 25 °C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly. Minor spread among model runs arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds, keeping the 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing and highlighting sensitivity to the next 48-hour model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,787結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate maximum temperatures in Munich on August 3 centered around 34–35 °C, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and warm-air advection from the south. These conditions favor strong daytime solar heating across the relatively dry late-summer landscape, while the urban heat-island effect in the city center adds 1–2 °C locally. Historical August maxima average near 25 °C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly. Minor spread among model runs arises from uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds, keeping the 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes closely matched in trader pricing and highlighting sensitivity to the next 48-hour model updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions