Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces early-August daily highs near 33–34°C, driven by persistent high pressure, elevated humidity above 70%, and limited cloud cover that allows strong solar heating. With the August 3 forecast still subject to short-range model updates from agencies like China’s National Meteorological Center, traders see the tightest odds clustered around 25–28°C because modest shifts in steering winds, overnight cloudiness, or scattered thunderstorms can easily trim peak temperatures by several degrees. Historical analogs show that brief rain events or stronger southerly flow frequently cap maxima in this range, while clearer, drier conditions push readings above 30°C, explaining why probabilities remain dispersed across the middle outcomes rather than concentrating on the long-term average.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日重慶氣溫最高？
8月3日重慶氣溫最高？
26°C 36%
27°C 23%
25°C 17%
28°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
23°C或以下
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
17%
26°C
36%
27°C
23%
28°C
16%
29°C
6%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C或更高
<1%
26°C 36%
27°C 23%
25°C 17%
28°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
23°C或以下
$1,311 交易量
3%
24°C
$56 交易量
5%
25°C
$64 交易量
17%
26°C
$115 交易量
36%
27°C
$865 交易量
23%
28°C
$179 交易量
16%
29°C
$30 交易量
6%
30°C
$258 交易量
4%
31°C
$93 交易量
2%
32°C
$86 交易量
2%
33°C或更高
$341 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces early-August daily highs near 33–34°C, driven by persistent high pressure, elevated humidity above 70%, and limited cloud cover that allows strong solar heating. With the August 3 forecast still subject to short-range model updates from agencies like China’s National Meteorological Center, traders see the tightest odds clustered around 25–28°C because modest shifts in steering winds, overnight cloudiness, or scattered thunderstorms can easily trim peak temperatures by several degrees. Historical analogs show that brief rain events or stronger southerly flow frequently cap maxima in this range, while clearer, drier conditions push readings above 30°C, explaining why probabilities remain dispersed across the middle outcomes rather than concentrating on the long-term average.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$3,398結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces early-August daily highs near 33–34°C, driven by persistent high pressure, elevated humidity above 70%, and limited cloud cover that allows strong solar heating. With the August 3 forecast still subject to short-range model updates from agencies like China’s National Meteorological Center, traders see the tightest odds clustered around 25–28°C because modest shifts in steering winds, overnight cloudiness, or scattered thunderstorms can easily trim peak temperatures by several degrees. Historical analogs show that brief rain events or stronger southerly flow frequently cap maxima in this range, while clearer, drier conditions push readings above 30°C, explaining why probabilities remain dispersed across the middle outcomes rather than concentrating on the long-term average.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,398結束日期
2026-08-03市場開放時間
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETChongqing’s subtropical monsoon climate typically produces early-August daily highs near 33–34°C, driven by persistent high pressure, elevated humidity above 70%, and limited cloud cover that allows strong solar heating. With the August 3 forecast still subject to short-range model updates from agencies like China’s National Meteorological Center, traders see the tightest odds clustered around 25–28°C because modest shifts in steering winds, overnight cloudiness, or scattered thunderstorms can easily trim peak temperatures by several degrees. Historical analogs show that brief rain events or stronger southerly flow frequently cap maxima in this range, while clearer, drier conditions push readings above 30°C, explaining why probabilities remain dispersed across the middle outcomes rather than concentrating on the long-term average.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions