Recent weather forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 1, 2026, show a consensus maximum near 20°C amid typical winter patterns, driving the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms place August highs around 16–17°C based on long-term observations, but current model runs indicate a mild anomaly with potential for 19–21°C under partly cloudy to stormy conditions that limit daytime warming. Recent July observations, including highs of 15–20°C, reinforce this positioning while highlighting forecast uncertainty from variable Atlantic influences and precipitation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 22% and 16.5% odds for 21°C and 19°C, accounts for model spreads and resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月1日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
20°C 39%
19°C 26%
21°C 25%
18°C 9%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
26%
20°C
39%
21°C
25%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 39%
19°C 26%
21°C 25%
18°C 9%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
9%
19°C
26%
20°C
39%
21°C
25%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent weather forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 1, 2026, show a consensus maximum near 20°C amid typical winter patterns, driving the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms place August highs around 16–17°C based on long-term observations, but current model runs indicate a mild anomaly with potential for 19–21°C under partly cloudy to stormy conditions that limit daytime warming. Recent July observations, including highs of 15–20°C, reinforce this positioning while highlighting forecast uncertainty from variable Atlantic influences and precipitation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 22% and 16.5% odds for 21°C and 19°C, accounts for model spreads and resolution criteria tied to official daily maxima.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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