Short-range ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS show the highest temperature in Seoul on July 12 most likely near 32°C, reflecting midsummer conditions with high humidity, typical North Pacific high influence, and scattered precipitation that can moderate daytime maxima. Model spread arises from uncertainty in cloud cover, rain timing, and any weak frontal features, pushing some solutions toward 30–31°C under heavier showers while clearer or ridge-favored runs reach 34°C or higher. July climatology places average highs near 29–30°C, but recent early-month observations and 2026 seasonal patterns support the market’s tight clustering around the 32°C and 34°C+ bins, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月12日首爾最高溫度？
7月12日首爾最高溫度？
32°C 35%
31°C 24%
33°C 20%
34°C or higher 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
24%
32°C
35%
33°C
20%
34°C or higher
9%
32°C 35%
31°C 24%
33°C 20%
34°C or higher 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
24°C or below
$506 交易量
<1%
25°C
$506 交易量
<1%
26°C
$185 交易量
<1%
27°C
$22 交易量
<1%
28°C
$312 交易量
2%
29°C
$1,080 交易量
4%
30°C
$614 交易量
6%
31°C
$2,151 交易量
24%
32°C
$270 交易量
35%
33°C
$28 交易量
20%
34°C or higher
$181 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS show the highest temperature in Seoul on July 12 most likely near 32°C, reflecting midsummer conditions with high humidity, typical North Pacific high influence, and scattered precipitation that can moderate daytime maxima. Model spread arises from uncertainty in cloud cover, rain timing, and any weak frontal features, pushing some solutions toward 30–31°C under heavier showers while clearer or ridge-favored runs reach 34°C or higher. July climatology places average highs near 29–30°C, but recent early-month observations and 2026 seasonal patterns support the market’s tight clustering around the 32°C and 34°C+ bins, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$5,856結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS show the highest temperature in Seoul on July 12 most likely near 32°C, reflecting midsummer conditions with high humidity, typical North Pacific high influence, and scattered precipitation that can moderate daytime maxima. Model spread arises from uncertainty in cloud cover, rain timing, and any weak frontal features, pushing some solutions toward 30–31°C under heavier showers while clearer or ridge-favored runs reach 34°C or higher. July climatology places average highs near 29–30°C, but recent early-month observations and 2026 seasonal patterns support the market’s tight clustering around the 32°C and 34°C+ bins, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,856結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETShort-range ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS show the highest temperature in Seoul on July 12 most likely near 32°C, reflecting midsummer conditions with high humidity, typical North Pacific high influence, and scattered precipitation that can moderate daytime maxima. Model spread arises from uncertainty in cloud cover, rain timing, and any weak frontal features, pushing some solutions toward 30–31°C under heavier showers while clearer or ridge-favored runs reach 34°C or higher. July climatology places average highs near 29–30°C, but recent early-month observations and 2026 seasonal patterns support the market’s tight clustering around the 32°C and 34°C+ bins, with resolution hinging on final observational data from official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions