Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high around 30–32°C for Shanghai on July 5, driven by typical early-July subtropical conditions with moderating cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime peaks. Trader emphasis on 30°C (28%) and nearby outcomes reflects model consensus on moderate instability from the East Asian monsoon, where afternoon convection and urban heat effects introduce variability in observed maxima. Key variables include timing of any rainfall, which can suppress temperatures by 1–3°C, versus clearer spells allowing brief spikes; historical July averages near 32°C provide context but yield to short-term synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 5?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 5?
30°C 36%
31°C 28%
29°C 15%
32°C 14.0%
最新
$16,336 交易量
最新
$16,336 交易量
2026-07-05
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
15%
30°C
36%
31°C
28%
32°C
14%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 36%
31°C 28%
29°C 15%
32°C 14.0%
最新
$16,336 交易量
最新
$16,336 交易量
2026-07-05
27°C or below
$1,401 交易量
1%
28°C
$533 交易量
3%
29°C
$606 交易量
15%
30°C
$2,126 交易量
36%
31°C
$7,699 交易量
28%
32°C
$944 交易量
14%
33°C
$1,034 交易量
4%
34°C
$658 交易量
1%
35°C
$811 交易量
<1%
36°C
$316 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$490 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high around 30–32°C for Shanghai on July 5, driven by typical early-July subtropical conditions with moderating cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime peaks. Trader emphasis on 30°C (28%) and nearby outcomes reflects model consensus on moderate instability from the East Asian monsoon, where afternoon convection and urban heat effects introduce variability in observed maxima. Key variables include timing of any rainfall, which can suppress temperatures by 1–3°C, versus clearer spells allowing brief spikes; historical July averages near 32°C provide context but yield to short-term synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$16,336結束日期
2026-07-05市場開放時間
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high around 30–32°C for Shanghai on July 5, driven by typical early-July subtropical conditions with moderating cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime peaks. Trader emphasis on 30°C (28%) and nearby outcomes reflects model consensus on moderate instability from the East Asian monsoon, where afternoon convection and urban heat effects introduce variability in observed maxima. Key variables include timing of any rainfall, which can suppress temperatures by 1–3°C, versus clearer spells allowing brief spikes; historical July averages near 32°C provide context but yield to short-term synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,336結束日期
2026-07-05市場開放時間
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high around 30–32°C for Shanghai on July 5, driven by typical early-July subtropical conditions with moderating cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime peaks. Trader emphasis on 30°C (28%) and nearby outcomes reflects model consensus on moderate instability from the East Asian monsoon, where afternoon convection and urban heat effects introduce variability in observed maxima. Key variables include timing of any rainfall, which can suppress temperatures by 1–3°C, versus clearer spells allowing brief spikes; historical July averages near 32°C provide context but yield to short-term synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions