Recent typhoon Bavi's passage near northern Taiwan in mid-July has left lingering moisture and variable cloud cover, creating uncertainty in afternoon heating for Taipei on July 17. Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate daily highs near 35–36°C amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with high humidity supporting heat retention but scattered thunderstorms potentially capping peaks. Post-storm clearing could allow stronger insolation and urban heat island effects to push maxima toward 36–37°C, while persistent cloudiness or convective activity favors 34–35°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture that differentiate these closely matched outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月17日臺北氣溫最高？
7月17日臺北氣溫最高？
36°C 25.6%
35°C 20%
37°C 16.0%
34°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-17
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
10%
34°C
14%
35°C
20%
36°C
26%
37°C
16%
38°C或以上
12%
36°C 25.6%
35°C 20%
37°C 16.0%
34°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-17
28°C或以下
$5 交易量
<1%
29°C
$10 交易量
1%
30°C
$10 交易量
1%
31°C
$356 交易量
1%
32°C
$0 交易量
4%
33°C
$0 交易量
10%
34°C
$23 交易量
14%
35°C
$441 交易量
20%
36°C
$21 交易量
26%
37°C
$10 交易量
16%
38°C或以上
$0 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent typhoon Bavi's passage near northern Taiwan in mid-July has left lingering moisture and variable cloud cover, creating uncertainty in afternoon heating for Taipei on July 17. Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate daily highs near 35–36°C amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with high humidity supporting heat retention but scattered thunderstorms potentially capping peaks. Post-storm clearing could allow stronger insolation and urban heat island effects to push maxima toward 36–37°C, while persistent cloudiness or convective activity favors 34–35°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture that differentiate these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$876結束日期
2026-07-17市場開放時間
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent typhoon Bavi's passage near northern Taiwan in mid-July has left lingering moisture and variable cloud cover, creating uncertainty in afternoon heating for Taipei on July 17. Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate daily highs near 35–36°C amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with high humidity supporting heat retention but scattered thunderstorms potentially capping peaks. Post-storm clearing could allow stronger insolation and urban heat island effects to push maxima toward 36–37°C, while persistent cloudiness or convective activity favors 34–35°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture that differentiate these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$876結束日期
2026-07-17市場開放時間
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent typhoon Bavi's passage near northern Taiwan in mid-July has left lingering moisture and variable cloud cover, creating uncertainty in afternoon heating for Taipei on July 17. Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate daily highs near 35–36°C amid typical summer monsoon conditions, with high humidity supporting heat retention but scattered thunderstorms potentially capping peaks. Post-storm clearing could allow stronger insolation and urban heat island effects to push maxima toward 36–37°C, while persistent cloudiness or convective activity favors 34–35°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on short-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture that differentiate these closely matched outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions