Current short-range guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicates daytime maxima of 31–35°C for Taipei on July 16, consistent with typical mid-July climatology of hot, humid conditions and afternoon convective activity. Market dispersion across 34–38°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, shower timing, and urban heat retention that can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Stronger insolation and lighter winds favor the upper end of the distribution, while increased thunderstorm development or monsoon moisture could cap temperatures nearer 34–35°C. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月16日臺北氣溫最高？
7月16日臺北氣溫最高？
36°C 40%
35°C 26%
37°C 18.5%
34°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
10%
35°C
26%
36°C
40%
37°C
19%
38°C or higher
4%
36°C 40%
35°C 26%
37°C 18.5%
34°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
28°C or below
$365 交易量
<1%
29°C
$75 交易量
<1%
30°C
$151 交易量
<1%
31°C
$242 交易量
<1%
32°C
$302 交易量
1%
33°C
$505 交易量
2%
34°C
$331 交易量
10%
35°C
$703 交易量
26%
36°C
$413 交易量
40%
37°C
$427 交易量
19%
38°C or higher
$457 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicates daytime maxima of 31–35°C for Taipei on July 16, consistent with typical mid-July climatology of hot, humid conditions and afternoon convective activity. Market dispersion across 34–38°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, shower timing, and urban heat retention that can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Stronger insolation and lighter winds favor the upper end of the distribution, while increased thunderstorm development or monsoon moisture could cap temperatures nearer 34–35°C. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$3,971結束日期
2026-07-16市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicates daytime maxima of 31–35°C for Taipei on July 16, consistent with typical mid-July climatology of hot, humid conditions and afternoon convective activity. Market dispersion across 34–38°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, shower timing, and urban heat retention that can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Stronger insolation and lighter winds favor the upper end of the distribution, while increased thunderstorm development or monsoon moisture could cap temperatures nearer 34–35°C. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,971結束日期
2026-07-16市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent short-range guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicates daytime maxima of 31–35°C for Taipei on July 16, consistent with typical mid-July climatology of hot, humid conditions and afternoon convective activity. Market dispersion across 34–38°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, shower timing, and urban heat retention that can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Stronger insolation and lighter winds favor the upper end of the distribution, while increased thunderstorm development or monsoon moisture could cap temperatures nearer 34–35°C. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions