Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on July 16 amid cloudy conditions and possible rain, reflecting typical midsummer humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Ensemble model spreads and steering patterns introduce uncertainty between 24–27°C, with urban heat island effects and cloud cover as key variables that can elevate overnight lows above climatological averages of 23–24°C. Trader consensus around 26–30°C outcomes captures this forecast variability and the potential for slight warming under stalled frontal systems, while lower probabilities on 21°C or below align with the low historical likelihood of significant cold advection in peak July. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze influences clarify.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月16日東京最低溫度？
7月16日東京最低溫度？
27°C 40%
26°C 33%
28°C 15%
25°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
12%
26°C
33%
27°C
40%
28°C
15%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
<1%
27°C 40%
26°C 33%
28°C 15%
25°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
21°C或以下
$452 交易量
<1%
22°C
$123 交易量
<1%
23°C
$237 交易量
1%
24°C
$188 交易量
2%
25°C
$62 交易量
12%
26°C
$303 交易量
33%
27°C
$3,506 交易量
40%
28°C
$83 交易量
15%
29°C
$73 交易量
3%
30°C
$92 交易量
1%
31°C或以上
$694 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on July 16 amid cloudy conditions and possible rain, reflecting typical midsummer humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Ensemble model spreads and steering patterns introduce uncertainty between 24–27°C, with urban heat island effects and cloud cover as key variables that can elevate overnight lows above climatological averages of 23–24°C. Trader consensus around 26–30°C outcomes captures this forecast variability and the potential for slight warming under stalled frontal systems, while lower probabilities on 21°C or below align with the low historical likelihood of significant cold advection in peak July. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze influences clarify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$5,812結束日期
2026-07-16市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on July 16 amid cloudy conditions and possible rain, reflecting typical midsummer humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Ensemble model spreads and steering patterns introduce uncertainty between 24–27°C, with urban heat island effects and cloud cover as key variables that can elevate overnight lows above climatological averages of 23–24°C. Trader consensus around 26–30°C outcomes captures this forecast variability and the potential for slight warming under stalled frontal systems, while lower probabilities on 21°C or below align with the low historical likelihood of significant cold advection in peak July. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze influences clarify.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,812結束日期
2026-07-16市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on July 16 amid cloudy conditions and possible rain, reflecting typical midsummer humidity and limited nocturnal cooling. Ensemble model spreads and steering patterns introduce uncertainty between 24–27°C, with urban heat island effects and cloud cover as key variables that can elevate overnight lows above climatological averages of 23–24°C. Trader consensus around 26–30°C outcomes captures this forecast variability and the potential for slight warming under stalled frontal systems, while lower probabilities on 21°C or below align with the low historical likelihood of significant cold advection in peak July. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges as land-sea breeze influences clarify.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions