Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila show a 32°C high on July 16 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability, anchoring trader consensus around 32–34°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from habagat moisture limit surface heating by reducing solar insolation, while high humidity and light winds suppress diurnal temperature rises typical of drier periods. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet model consensus highlights variability from convective timing—brief sun breaks could push peaks to 34°C, whereas sustained rainfall keeps readings closer to 32°C. Updated agency guidance and satellite observations of monsoon strength will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月16日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
33°C 46%
34°C 28%
32°C 14%
35°C 8%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
46%
34°C
28%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C或以上
1%
33°C 46%
34°C 28%
32°C 14%
35°C 8%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
46%
34°C
28%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila show a 32°C high on July 16 amid the southwest monsoon, with 60% rain probability, anchoring trader consensus around 32–34°C outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from habagat moisture limit surface heating by reducing solar insolation, while high humidity and light winds suppress diurnal temperature rises typical of drier periods. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet model consensus highlights variability from convective timing—brief sun breaks could push peaks to 34°C, whereas sustained rainfall keeps readings closer to 32°C. Updated agency guidance and satellite observations of monsoon strength will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions