Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies point to mostly cloudy skies and light showers over Qingdao on July 16, driven by easterly flow off the Yellow Sea and residual monsoon moisture, which should cap daytime highs near 25–26 °C. These conditions favor the lower temperature buckets now trading at modest implied probabilities, while the tighter clustering around 27–29 °C reflects remaining ensemble spread in cloud cover and timing of any clearing. Sea-breeze moderation and high humidity typical of coastal Shandong in mid-July further constrain rapid warming, though brief breaks in the overcast could allow brief spikes toward 28 °C if models shift in the final 48 hours. Updated runs ahead of the event will clarify whether the current consensus holds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月16日青島氣溫最高？
7月16日青島氣溫最高？
30°C 26%
29°C 23%
28°C 19%
31°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
19%
29°C
23%
30°C
26%
31°C
18%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C或以上
<1%
30°C 26%
29°C 23%
28°C 19%
31°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
24°C或以下
$983 交易量
<1%
25°C
$332 交易量
<1%
26°C
$130 交易量
3%
27°C
$585 交易量
6%
28°C
$266 交易量
19%
29°C
$296 交易量
23%
30°C
$407 交易量
26%
31°C
$174 交易量
18%
32°C
$284 交易量
7%
33°C
$66 交易量
2%
34°C或以上
$319 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies point to mostly cloudy skies and light showers over Qingdao on July 16, driven by easterly flow off the Yellow Sea and residual monsoon moisture, which should cap daytime highs near 25–26 °C. These conditions favor the lower temperature buckets now trading at modest implied probabilities, while the tighter clustering around 27–29 °C reflects remaining ensemble spread in cloud cover and timing of any clearing. Sea-breeze moderation and high humidity typical of coastal Shandong in mid-July further constrain rapid warming, though brief breaks in the overcast could allow brief spikes toward 28 °C if models shift in the final 48 hours. Updated runs ahead of the event will clarify whether the current consensus holds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,842結束日期
2026-07-16市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies point to mostly cloudy skies and light showers over Qingdao on July 16, driven by easterly flow off the Yellow Sea and residual monsoon moisture, which should cap daytime highs near 25–26 °C. These conditions favor the lower temperature buckets now trading at modest implied probabilities, while the tighter clustering around 27–29 °C reflects remaining ensemble spread in cloud cover and timing of any clearing. Sea-breeze moderation and high humidity typical of coastal Shandong in mid-July further constrain rapid warming, though brief breaks in the overcast could allow brief spikes toward 28 °C if models shift in the final 48 hours. Updated runs ahead of the event will clarify whether the current consensus holds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,842結束日期
2026-07-16市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecast models from meteorological agencies point to mostly cloudy skies and light showers over Qingdao on July 16, driven by easterly flow off the Yellow Sea and residual monsoon moisture, which should cap daytime highs near 25–26 °C. These conditions favor the lower temperature buckets now trading at modest implied probabilities, while the tighter clustering around 27–29 °C reflects remaining ensemble spread in cloud cover and timing of any clearing. Sea-breeze moderation and high humidity typical of coastal Shandong in mid-July further constrain rapid warming, though brief breaks in the overcast could allow brief spikes toward 28 °C if models shift in the final 48 hours. Updated runs ahead of the event will clarify whether the current consensus holds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions