Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 12, 2026, with possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating and favor a daily maximum near 28–30 °C. Recent observations of below-normal temperatures, including a 24 °C high on July 7, reinforce trader positioning around these central outcomes, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-average warmth has little near-term influence. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and humidity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; updated JMA guidance and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine the tight spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C contracts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月12日東京氣溫最高？
7月12日東京氣溫最高？
28°C 36%
29°C 35%
30°C 17%
27°C 7.0%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
36%
29°C
35%
30°C
17%
31°C
7%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 36%
29°C 35%
30°C 17%
27°C 7.0%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
23°C or below
$510 交易量
<1%
24°C
$440 交易量
<1%
25°C
$366 交易量
<1%
26°C
$288 交易量
1%
27°C
$329 交易量
7%
28°C
$2,368 交易量
36%
29°C
$2,535 交易量
35%
30°C
$656 交易量
17%
31°C
$351 交易量
7%
32°C
$212 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$317 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 12, 2026, with possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating and favor a daily maximum near 28–30 °C. Recent observations of below-normal temperatures, including a 24 °C high on July 7, reinforce trader positioning around these central outcomes, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-average warmth has little near-term influence. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and humidity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; updated JMA guidance and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine the tight spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$8,371結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 12, 2026, with possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating and favor a daily maximum near 28–30 °C. Recent observations of below-normal temperatures, including a 24 °C high on July 7, reinforce trader positioning around these central outcomes, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-average warmth has little near-term influence. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and humidity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; updated JMA guidance and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine the tight spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,371結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETJapan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 12, 2026, with possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating and favor a daily maximum near 28–30 °C. Recent observations of below-normal temperatures, including a 24 °C high on July 7, reinforce trader positioning around these central outcomes, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-average warmth has little near-term influence. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and humidity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; updated JMA guidance and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine the tight spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C contracts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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