Forecasts from Environment Canada and numerical models indicate sunny conditions over Toronto on July 16, 2026, with daytime highs centered near 30–31°C amid moderate humidity and light winds. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 31°C and 32°C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or the precise timing of a weak trough can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent heat-wave conditions earlier in July provide climatological context, yet current guidance shows no strong warm advection to push readings into the mid-30s. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key variables that could refine probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月16日多倫多氣溫最高?
31°C 34%
32°C 26%
30°C 17%
29°C 11%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
21%
31°C
34%
32°C
26%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
31°C 34%
32°C 26%
30°C 17%
29°C 11%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
21%
31°C
34%
32°C
26%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 14, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from Environment Canada and numerical models indicate sunny conditions over Toronto on July 16, 2026, with daytime highs centered near 30–31°C amid moderate humidity and light winds. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 31°C and 32°C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or the precise timing of a weak trough can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent heat-wave conditions earlier in July provide climatological context, yet current guidance shows no strong warm advection to push readings into the mid-30s. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key variables that could refine probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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