Recent model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service points to a warm, humid airmass over the Northeast, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected due to high dew points and possible cloud cover or scattered showers on July 16. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, where small variations in timing of any clearing, wind speeds, or urban heat retention can shift the daily low by several degrees across forecast bins. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation placement, keeping probabilities clustered around 76–85°F ranges while limiting odds for sub-72°F or extreme highs above 86°F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月16日是紐約市的最低溫度嗎？
7月16日是紐約市的最低溫度嗎？
74-75°F 25%
78-79°F 21%
80-81°F 21%
76-77°F 20%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
71°F或更低
15%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
華氏90度或以上
1%
74-75°F 25%
78-79°F 21%
80-81°F 21%
76-77°F 20%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
71°F或更低
$20 交易量
15%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
19%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
25%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
20%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
21%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
21%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
20%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
19%
86-87°F
$225 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$172 交易量
1%
華氏90度或以上
$175 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service points to a warm, humid airmass over the Northeast, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected due to high dew points and possible cloud cover or scattered showers on July 16. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, where small variations in timing of any clearing, wind speeds, or urban heat retention can shift the daily low by several degrees across forecast bins. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation placement, keeping probabilities clustered around 76–85°F ranges while limiting odds for sub-72°F or extreme highs above 86°F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 14, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$591結束日期
2026-07-16市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service points to a warm, humid airmass over the Northeast, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected due to high dew points and possible cloud cover or scattered showers on July 16. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, where small variations in timing of any clearing, wind speeds, or urban heat retention can shift the daily low by several degrees across forecast bins. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation placement, keeping probabilities clustered around 76–85°F ranges while limiting odds for sub-72°F or extreme highs above 86°F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$591結束日期
2026-07-16市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent model consensus from sources like the National Weather Service points to a warm, humid airmass over the Northeast, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected due to high dew points and possible cloud cover or scattered showers on July 16. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 70s°F, where small variations in timing of any clearing, wind speeds, or urban heat retention can shift the daily low by several degrees across forecast bins. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation placement, keeping probabilities clustered around 76–85°F ranges while limiting odds for sub-72°F or extreme highs above 86°F. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions