National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts indicate sunny, dry conditions under persistent high pressure will drive strong daytime heating across the Front Range on July 16, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 94–96°F at Denver’s elevation. This setup favors the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins as the most probable outcomes, consistent with recent runs showing minimal cloud cover or moisture return to moderate temperatures. Historical July averages near 91°F and the ongoing warm anomaly reinforce trader positioning, while any late-model shift toward slightly cooler advection or earlier monsoonal moisture could narrow probabilities toward the 90–91°F range. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles remain the primary near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月16日丹佛的最高溫度?
92-93華氏度 41%
90-91°F 28%
94-95°F 19.5%
88-89°F 12%
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
28%
92-93華氏度
41%
94-95°F
20%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
1%
100°F或以上
<1%
92-93華氏度 41%
90-91°F 28%
94-95°F 19.5%
88-89°F 12%
華氏81度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
28%
92-93華氏度
41%
94-95°F
20%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
1%
100°F或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts indicate sunny, dry conditions under persistent high pressure will drive strong daytime heating across the Front Range on July 16, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 94–96°F at Denver’s elevation. This setup favors the market’s leading 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins as the most probable outcomes, consistent with recent runs showing minimal cloud cover or moisture return to moderate temperatures. Historical July averages near 91°F and the ongoing warm anomaly reinforce trader positioning, while any late-model shift toward slightly cooler advection or earlier monsoonal moisture could narrow probabilities toward the 90–91°F range. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles remain the primary near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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