Forecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城7月16日的最高溫度？
墨西哥城7月16日的最高溫度？
25°C 40%
24°C 28%
26°C 26%
22°C 4.6%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
28%
25°C
40%
26°C
26%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C或更高
1%
25°C 40%
24°C 28%
26°C 26%
22°C 4.6%
最新
最新
2026-07-16
19°C或以下
$554 交易量
<1%
20°C
$301 交易量
1%
21°C
$51 交易量
1%
22°C
$61 交易量
5%
23°C
$69 交易量
5%
24°C
$628 交易量
28%
25°C
$48 交易量
40%
26°C
$66 交易量
26%
27°C
$41 交易量
4%
28°C
$61 交易量
3%
29°C或更高
$128 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$2,008結束日期
2026-07-16市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,008結束日期
2026-07-16市場開放時間
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETForecast models and climatological data position 24–26°C as the most probable range for Mexico City’s July 16 high, aligning with the market’s concentration around 25°C (39.5%). The city’s high elevation (~2,240 m) produces moderate baseline temperatures, while the ongoing rainy season—historically the wettest month—brings frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that limit daytime heating and cap extremes. Recent extended forecasts from multiple sources consistently show highs near 24°C with lows around 14°C, reflecting typical July conditions where mean maxima hover at 24°C and rarely exceed 26°C. Trader sentiment reflects this consensus, tempered by the inherent variability in convective timing and intensity that could nudge the daily peak slightly higher or lower. Updated model runs and official observations in the final 24 hours before resolution will provide the clearest signal for any late shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions