Recent numerical weather prediction models show a high-pressure system dominating central Europe, promoting subsidence and mostly clear skies over Warsaw on August 11 that support daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 22–24 °C. Light southerly winds and modest boundary-layer moisture limit strong surface heating or convective cooling, keeping ensemble spreads tight between the 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes that currently lead trader pricing. Minor differences in simulated cloud timing or dew-point profiles across runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System create the close split, while probabilities for 24 °C or higher remain lower absent a stronger ridge or reduced mixing. Updated model guidance and official Polish Institute of Meteorology briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the peak temperature before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日華沙的最高溫度？
8月11日華沙的最高溫度？
22°C 39%
23°C 31%
24°C 17%
21°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
39%
23°C
31%
24°C
17%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
23°C 31%
24°C 17%
21°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
18°C or below
$67 交易量
1%
19°C
$38 交易量
2%
20°C
$0 交易量
3%
21°C
$96 交易量
10%
22°C
$107 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
31%
24°C
$42 交易量
17%
25°C
$11 交易量
2%
26°C
$15 交易量
4%
27°C
$255 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,400 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models show a high-pressure system dominating central Europe, promoting subsidence and mostly clear skies over Warsaw on August 11 that support daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 22–24 °C. Light southerly winds and modest boundary-layer moisture limit strong surface heating or convective cooling, keeping ensemble spreads tight between the 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes that currently lead trader pricing. Minor differences in simulated cloud timing or dew-point profiles across runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System create the close split, while probabilities for 24 °C or higher remain lower absent a stronger ridge or reduced mixing. Updated model guidance and official Polish Institute of Meteorology briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the peak temperature before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$2,031結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models show a high-pressure system dominating central Europe, promoting subsidence and mostly clear skies over Warsaw on August 11 that support daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 22–24 °C. Light southerly winds and modest boundary-layer moisture limit strong surface heating or convective cooling, keeping ensemble spreads tight between the 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes that currently lead trader pricing. Minor differences in simulated cloud timing or dew-point profiles across runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System create the close split, while probabilities for 24 °C or higher remain lower absent a stronger ridge or reduced mixing. Updated model guidance and official Polish Institute of Meteorology briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the peak temperature before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,031結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models show a high-pressure system dominating central Europe, promoting subsidence and mostly clear skies over Warsaw on August 11 that support daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 22–24 °C. Light southerly winds and modest boundary-layer moisture limit strong surface heating or convective cooling, keeping ensemble spreads tight between the 22 °C and 23 °C outcomes that currently lead trader pricing. Minor differences in simulated cloud timing or dew-point profiles across runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System create the close split, while probabilities for 24 °C or higher remain lower absent a stronger ridge or reduced mixing. Updated model guidance and official Polish Institute of Meteorology briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the peak temperature before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions