Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) cluster Warsaw’s July 11 maximum near 21–23 °C at Chopin Airport, reflecting a transitional pattern after late-June heat. Weak Atlantic low-pressure influence and variable cloud cover are limiting daytime insolation and advecting cooler maritime air, keeping readings below seasonal normals of ~24 °C. Trader consensus centers on 22 °C because small differences in predicted afternoon cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while stronger ridging or clearer skies would push probabilities toward 24 °C or higher. Official IMGW-PIB observations will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月11日華沙的最高溫度？
7月11日華沙的最高溫度？
21°C 40%
22°C 29%
20°C 17%
19°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-07-11
18°C or below
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
17%
21°C
40%
22°C
29%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
21°C 40%
22°C 29%
20°C 17%
19°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-07-11
18°C or below
$737 交易量
2%
19°C
$400 交易量
6%
20°C
$1,992 交易量
17%
21°C
$537 交易量
40%
22°C
$1,155 交易量
29%
23°C
$550 交易量
4%
24°C
$233 交易量
2%
25°C
$450 交易量
1%
26°C
$544 交易量
<1%
27°C
$15 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$219 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) cluster Warsaw’s July 11 maximum near 21–23 °C at Chopin Airport, reflecting a transitional pattern after late-June heat. Weak Atlantic low-pressure influence and variable cloud cover are limiting daytime insolation and advecting cooler maritime air, keeping readings below seasonal normals of ~24 °C. Trader consensus centers on 22 °C because small differences in predicted afternoon cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while stronger ridging or clearer skies would push probabilities toward 24 °C or higher. Official IMGW-PIB observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$6,832結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) cluster Warsaw’s July 11 maximum near 21–23 °C at Chopin Airport, reflecting a transitional pattern after late-June heat. Weak Atlantic low-pressure influence and variable cloud cover are limiting daytime insolation and advecting cooler maritime air, keeping readings below seasonal normals of ~24 °C. Trader consensus centers on 22 °C because small differences in predicted afternoon cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while stronger ridging or clearer skies would push probabilities toward 24 °C or higher. Official IMGW-PIB observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,832結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) cluster Warsaw’s July 11 maximum near 21–23 °C at Chopin Airport, reflecting a transitional pattern after late-June heat. Weak Atlantic low-pressure influence and variable cloud cover are limiting daytime insolation and advecting cooler maritime air, keeping readings below seasonal normals of ~24 °C. Trader consensus centers on 22 °C because small differences in predicted afternoon cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while stronger ridging or clearer skies would push probabilities toward 24 °C or higher. Official IMGW-PIB observations will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions