Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather point to a warming trend across central Poland, with Warsaw likely experiencing peak highs in the mid-30s Celsius on July 31 under sunny conditions, southerly winds, and high-pressure dominance that favors strong daytime heating. Model consensus remains tight around 34–36°C, reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind shifts, or local urban heat island effects that could nudge the daily maximum up or down by 1–2°C. This aligns with historical July extremes in Warsaw, where typical highs average near 24–26°C but occasional heat events push into the mid-30s; traders appear to weigh these variables heavily as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月31日華沙的最高溫度？
7月31日華沙的最高溫度？
36°C 38%
35°C 27%
37°C 21%
34°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
32°C或以下
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
9%
35°C
27%
36°C
38%
37°C
21%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C或更高
<1%
36°C 38%
35°C 27%
37°C 21%
34°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
32°C或以下
$58 交易量
1%
33°C
$190 交易量
3%
34°C
$513 交易量
9%
35°C
$351 交易量
27%
36°C
$310 交易量
38%
37°C
$1,370 交易量
21%
38°C
$192 交易量
3%
39°C
$75 交易量
1%
40°C
$123 交易量
<1%
41°C
$156 交易量
<1%
42°C或更高
$414 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather point to a warming trend across central Poland, with Warsaw likely experiencing peak highs in the mid-30s Celsius on July 31 under sunny conditions, southerly winds, and high-pressure dominance that favors strong daytime heating. Model consensus remains tight around 34–36°C, reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind shifts, or local urban heat island effects that could nudge the daily maximum up or down by 1–2°C. This aligns with historical July extremes in Warsaw, where typical highs average near 24–26°C but occasional heat events push into the mid-30s; traders appear to weigh these variables heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 29, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,750結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather point to a warming trend across central Poland, with Warsaw likely experiencing peak highs in the mid-30s Celsius on July 31 under sunny conditions, southerly winds, and high-pressure dominance that favors strong daytime heating. Model consensus remains tight around 34–36°C, reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind shifts, or local urban heat island effects that could nudge the daily maximum up or down by 1–2°C. This aligns with historical July extremes in Warsaw, where typical highs average near 24–26°C but occasional heat events push into the mid-30s; traders appear to weigh these variables heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,750結束日期
2026-07-31市場開放時間
Jul 29, 2026, 1:04 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather point to a warming trend across central Poland, with Warsaw likely experiencing peak highs in the mid-30s Celsius on July 31 under sunny conditions, southerly winds, and high-pressure dominance that favors strong daytime heating. Model consensus remains tight around 34–36°C, reflecting minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind shifts, or local urban heat island effects that could nudge the daily maximum up or down by 1–2°C. This aligns with historical July extremes in Warsaw, where typical highs average near 24–26°C but occasional heat events push into the mid-30s; traders appear to weigh these variables heavily as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions