Global seismic activity follows a relatively stable long-term rate tracked by the USGS, with roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events typically recorded worldwide each week amid random clustering on major fault systems. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline alongside aftershock potential from the June 8, 2026, magnitude 7.8 Mindanao earthquake, which can elevate counts in the short term while model consensus on exact weekly totals remains limited by tectonic variability. Recent monitoring shows elevated M4.5+ activity in mid-June, supporting the broad probability spread across outcomes from five or fewer to more than eleven events.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月22日至6月28日發生了多少次5.5級或以上的地震？
6月22日至6月28日發生了多少次5.5級或以上的地震？
>11 62%
11 21%
10 15.9%
9 8.1%
$32,538 交易量
$32,538 交易量
2026-06-28
≤5
<1%
6
<1%
7
1%
8
3%
9
8%
10
14%
11
21%
>11
63%
>11 62%
11 21%
10 15.9%
9 8.1%
$32,538 交易量
$32,538 交易量
2026-06-28
≤5
$11,514 交易量
<1%
6
$3,862 交易量
<1%
7
$2,840 交易量
1%
8
$1,847 交易量
3%
9
$1,227 交易量
8%
10
$1,394 交易量
14%
11
$1,389 交易量
21%
>11
$8,464 交易量
63%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic activity follows a relatively stable long-term rate tracked by the USGS, with roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events typically recorded worldwide each week amid random clustering on major fault systems. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline alongside aftershock potential from the June 8, 2026, magnitude 7.8 Mindanao earthquake, which can elevate counts in the short term while model consensus on exact weekly totals remains limited by tectonic variability. Recent monitoring shows elevated M4.5+ activity in mid-June, supporting the broad probability spread across outcomes from five or fewer to more than eleven events.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市場開放時間： Jun 22, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
交易量
$32,538結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
Jun 22, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic activity follows a relatively stable long-term rate tracked by the USGS, with roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events typically recorded worldwide each week amid random clustering on major fault systems. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline alongside aftershock potential from the June 8, 2026, magnitude 7.8 Mindanao earthquake, which can elevate counts in the short term while model consensus on exact weekly totals remains limited by tectonic variability. Recent monitoring shows elevated M4.5+ activity in mid-June, supporting the broad probability spread across outcomes from five or fewer to more than eleven events.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
交易量
$32,538結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
Jun 22, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic activity follows a relatively stable long-term rate tracked by the USGS, with roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events typically recorded worldwide each week amid random clustering on major fault systems. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline alongside aftershock potential from the June 8, 2026, magnitude 7.8 Mindanao earthquake, which can elevate counts in the short term while model consensus on exact weekly totals remains limited by tectonic variability. Recent monitoring shows elevated M4.5+ activity in mid-June, supporting the broad probability spread across outcomes from five or fewer to more than eleven events.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions