SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with Nasdaq listing targeted for June 12 under ticker SPCX and pricing as early as June 11 following a June 4 roadshow, underpins the dominant 91.5% implied probability for a June debut. Faster-than-expected SEC review of the confidential S-1 filing submitted in early April has compressed the schedule from an initial late-June target, aligning with strong trader consensus backed by real capital at risk. This positioning reflects verifiable regulatory progress and institutional syndication, though realistic challenges include potential delays from final SEC comments, shifts in market sentiment affecting valuation targets near $1.75 trillion, or unforeseen corporate decisions that could push resolution into July or beyond.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於六月 92%
7 月 5.6%
2027 年前不會有 IPO <1%
8 月 <1%
$367,194 交易量
$367,194 交易量
五月
<1%
六月
92%
7 月
6%
8 月
<1%
9 月
<1%
10 月
<1%
11 月
<1%
12 月
<1%
2027 年前不會有 IPO
1%
六月 92%
7 月 5.6%
2027 年前不會有 IPO <1%
8 月 <1%
$367,194 交易量
$367,194 交易量
五月
<1%
六月
92%
7 月
6%
8 月
<1%
9 月
<1%
10 月
<1%
11 月
<1%
12 月
<1%
2027 年前不會有 IPO
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
市場開放時間: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with Nasdaq listing targeted for June 12 under ticker SPCX and pricing as early as June 11 following a June 4 roadshow, underpins the dominant 91.5% implied probability for a June debut. Faster-than-expected SEC review of the confidential S-1 filing submitted in early April has compressed the schedule from an initial late-June target, aligning with strong trader consensus backed by real capital at risk. This positioning reflects verifiable regulatory progress and institutional syndication, though realistic challenges include potential delays from final SEC comments, shifts in market sentiment affecting valuation targets near $1.75 trillion, or unforeseen corporate decisions that could push resolution into July or beyond.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions