Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul overnight lows near 20–21°C for June 18, supporting the near-even market split between those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the degree of overnight cloud cover, which modulates radiative cooling, and light wind speeds that limit mixing of warmer air aloft. Clearer conditions favor the lower end near 20°C by allowing greater surface heat loss, while increased humidity or southwesterly flow could hold temperatures closer to 21°C. Typical mid-June climatology places minimums in the 18–22°C range, and the tight probabilities reflect uncertainty in the precise timing of any clearing or subtle advection changes ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月18日首爾最低溫度？
6月18日首爾最低溫度？
21°C 33%
20°C 32%
19°C 10%
22°C 6.0%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
15℃或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
4%
19°C
10%
20°C
32%
21°C
33%
22°C
6%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C或以上
<1%
21°C 33%
20°C 32%
19°C 10%
22°C 6.0%
最新
最新
2026-06-18
15℃或以下
$439 交易量
<1%
16°C
$643 交易量
<1%
17°C
$81 交易量
3%
18°C
$27 交易量
4%
19°C
$126 交易量
10%
20°C
$106 交易量
32%
21°C
$82 交易量
33%
22°C
$36 交易量
6%
23°C
$181 交易量
1%
24°C
$300 交易量
1%
25°C或以上
$500 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul overnight lows near 20–21°C for June 18, supporting the near-even market split between those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the degree of overnight cloud cover, which modulates radiative cooling, and light wind speeds that limit mixing of warmer air aloft. Clearer conditions favor the lower end near 20°C by allowing greater surface heat loss, while increased humidity or southwesterly flow could hold temperatures closer to 21°C. Typical mid-June climatology places minimums in the 18–22°C range, and the tight probabilities reflect uncertainty in the precise timing of any clearing or subtle advection changes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,521結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul overnight lows near 20–21°C for June 18, supporting the near-even market split between those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the degree of overnight cloud cover, which modulates radiative cooling, and light wind speeds that limit mixing of warmer air aloft. Clearer conditions favor the lower end near 20°C by allowing greater surface heat loss, while increased humidity or southwesterly flow could hold temperatures closer to 21°C. Typical mid-June climatology places minimums in the 18–22°C range, and the tight probabilities reflect uncertainty in the precise timing of any clearing or subtle advection changes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,521結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul overnight lows near 20–21°C for June 18, supporting the near-even market split between those outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the degree of overnight cloud cover, which modulates radiative cooling, and light wind speeds that limit mixing of warmer air aloft. Clearer conditions favor the lower end near 20°C by allowing greater surface heat loss, while increased humidity or southwesterly flow could hold temperatures closer to 21°C. Typical mid-June climatology places minimums in the 18–22°C range, and the tight probabilities reflect uncertainty in the precise timing of any clearing or subtle advection changes ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions