Current forecasts from major meteorological sources, including the BBC and regional models, indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Shanghai on June 18 amid ongoing Meiyu (plum rain) conditions. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light showers moderate overnight radiative cooling, supporting this range while limiting drops below 22°C. Recent model runs show minimal divergence on steering patterns and moisture levels, keeping trader focus on 22–24°C outcomes. Historical June baselines for Shanghai average lows near 20–22°C, but the current synoptic setup favors slightly warmer nights. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine probabilities as the 24-hour period begins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月18日上海最低溫度?
24°C 42%
22°C 29.2%
23°C 28%
25°C 3.5%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
29%
23°C
28%
24°C
42%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C或以上
<1%
24°C 42%
22°C 29.2%
23°C 28%
25°C 3.5%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
29%
23°C
28%
24°C
42%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from major meteorological sources, including the BBC and regional models, indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Shanghai on June 18 amid ongoing Meiyu (plum rain) conditions. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light showers moderate overnight radiative cooling, supporting this range while limiting drops below 22°C. Recent model runs show minimal divergence on steering patterns and moisture levels, keeping trader focus on 22–24°C outcomes. Historical June baselines for Shanghai average lows near 20–22°C, but the current synoptic setup favors slightly warmer nights. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine probabilities as the 24-hour period begins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions