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政治·主要

密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for 密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者

喬斯林·本森 95.2%

克里斯·斯旺森 3.1%

加林·吉爾克里斯特 <1%

Marni Sawicki <1%

Polymarket

$12,690 交易量

喬斯林·本森 95.2%

克里斯·斯旺森 3.1%

加林·吉爾克里斯特 <1%

Marni Sawicki <1%

Polymarket

$12,690 交易量

喬斯林·本森

$8,440 交易量

95%

克里斯·斯旺森

$1,511 交易量

3%

加林·吉爾克里斯特

$1,564 交易量

1%

Marni Sawicki

$1,175 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jocelyn Benson maintains overwhelming trader consensus in the Michigan Democratic primary due to her strong polling leads and established profile as secretary of state. Recent surveys from May and April 2026 show her capturing 62-66% support among likely Democratic voters, far ahead of challengers like Chris Swanson. Her visibility from overseeing elections, coupled with endorsements from state legislators and party figures, has consolidated support early in the cycle for the August 4 primary. Limited name recognition and fundraising for opponents further reinforce the gap. A late surge by a lesser-known candidate or unusually low turnout could still shift the outcome, though current evidence points to sustained dominance through the primary window.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$12,690
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jocelyn Benson maintains overwhelming trader consensus in the Michigan Democratic primary due to her strong polling leads and established profile as secretary of state. Recent surveys from May and April 2026 show her capturing 62-66% support among likely Democratic voters, far ahead of challengers like Chris Swanson. Her visibility from overseeing elections, coupled with endorsements from state legislators and party figures, has consolidated support early in the cycle for the August 4 primary. Limited name recognition and fundraising for opponents further reinforce the gap. A late surge by a lesser-known candidate or unusually low turnout could still shift the outcome, though current evidence points to sustained dominance through the primary window.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$12,690
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "喬斯林·本森" at 95%, followed by "克里斯·斯旺森" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $12.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" is "喬斯林·本森" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "克里斯·斯旺森" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "密歇根州州長民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.