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icon for Mojtaba Khamenei公開露面... ？
地緣政治·中東

Mojtaba Khamenei公開露面... ？

icon for Mojtaba Khamenei公開露面... ？
地緣政治·中東

Mojtaba Khamenei公開露面... ？

$7,174,727 交易量

2026-08-31
Polymarket

$7,174,727 交易量

Polymarket

9月30日

$431,034 交易量

2%

10月31日

$15,709 交易量

8%

12月31日

$609,000 交易量

20%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei has issued written statements and decrees as Iran’s Supreme Leader since his March 2026 appointment but has produced no verified public appearances, videos, or photographs in the ensuing six months. Iranian officials, including President Pezeshkian, have repeatedly affirmed he is alive, functional, and exercising authority, attributing his seclusion to security risks amid the ongoing conflict that killed his father in February. Recent regime responses to speculation include September 2026 republications of 2024 archive images and family descriptions of his personal interests, yet these have not included fresh, authenticated footage or sightings. His absence from the July 2026 state funeral for Ali Khamenei further entrenched trader caution. Markets price low near-term probabilities because any resolution requires consensus-backed visual evidence, while recurring religious or state events through late 2026 remain the clearest potential catalysts for a change in visibility.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
交易量
$7,174,727
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei has issued written statements and decrees as Iran’s Supreme Leader since his March 2026 appointment but has produced no verified public appearances, videos, or photographs in the ensuing six months. Iranian officials, including President Pezeshkian, have repeatedly affirmed he is alive, functional, and exercising authority, attributing his seclusion to security risks amid the ongoing conflict that killed his father in February. Recent regime responses to speculation include September 2026 republications of 2024 archive images and family descriptions of his personal interests, yet these have not included fresh, authenticated footage or sightings. His absence from the July 2026 state funeral for Ali Khamenei further entrenched trader caution. Markets price low near-term probabilities because any resolution requires consensus-backed visual evidence, while recurring religious or state events through late 2026 remain the clearest potential catalysts for a change in visibility.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
交易量
$7,174,727
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Mojtaba Khamenei公開露面... ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 20%, followed by "10月31日" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Mojtaba Khamenei公開露面... ？" has generated $7.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Mojtaba Khamenei公開露面... ？," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mojtaba Khamenei公開露面... ？" is "12月31日" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "10月31日" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mojtaba Khamenei公開露面... ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.