Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent election margins exceeding 30 points. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican following the June primaries, where Downing faced no opposition while Democrat Brian Miller secured his party’s nomination against limited competition. The district’s rural eastern Montana composition and voting patterns in presidential and statewide races reinforce this consensus among traders. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or late national political realignment that boosts Democratic turnout before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$42,415 交易量
$42,415 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
95%
民主黨
6%
$42,415 交易量
$42,415 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$25,944 交易量
95%
民主黨
$16,471 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent election margins exceeding 30 points. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican following the June primaries, where Downing faced no opposition while Democrat Brian Miller secured his party’s nomination against limited competition. The district’s rural eastern Montana composition and voting patterns in presidential and statewide races reinforce this consensus among traders. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or late national political realignment that boosts Democratic turnout before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$42,415結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent election margins exceeding 30 points. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican following the June primaries, where Downing faced no opposition while Democrat Brian Miller secured his party’s nomination against limited competition. The district’s rural eastern Montana composition and voting patterns in presidential and statewide races reinforce this consensus among traders. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or late national political realignment that boosts Democratic turnout before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$42,415結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Republican Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent election margins exceeding 30 points. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican following the June primaries, where Downing faced no opposition while Democrat Brian Miller secured his party’s nomination against limited competition. The district’s rural eastern Montana composition and voting patterns in presidential and statewide races reinforce this consensus among traders. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or late national political realignment that boosts Democratic turnout before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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