Recent opinion polls from Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus show Sweden’s Social Democrats holding a steady 32–34 percent lead ahead of the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, giving Magdalena Andersson the strongest claim to form the next government. This positioning reflects sustained voter dissatisfaction with the Tidö coalition’s handling of immigration enforcement and economic conditions under incumbent Ulf Kristersson. Kristersson’s April announcement of plans for a four-party majority government that would include the Sweden Democrats has not reversed the projected narrow Red-Green seat advantage. In Sweden’s proportional system the leader of the largest party within the leading bloc conventionally becomes prime minister, which continues to anchor trader consensus around Andersson while keeping Kristersson’s implied probability well behind.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於馬格達萊娜·安德松 69%
烏爾夫·克里斯特松 29%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.2%
埃巴·布希 <1%
$1,954,317 交易量
$1,954,317 交易量

馬格達萊娜·安德松
69%

烏爾夫·克里斯特松
29%

Jimmie Åkesson
2%

埃巴·布希
<1%

安娜-卡琳·哈特
<1%

阿曼達·林德
<1%

西蒙娜·莫哈姆松
<1%

丹尼爾·赫爾登
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

伊麗莎白·坦德·林克維斯特
<1%
馬格達萊娜·安德松 69%
烏爾夫·克里斯特松 29%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.2%
埃巴·布希 <1%
$1,954,317 交易量
$1,954,317 交易量

馬格達萊娜·安德松
69%

烏爾夫·克里斯特松
29%

Jimmie Åkesson
2%

埃巴·布希
<1%

安娜-卡琳·哈特
<1%

阿曼達·林德
<1%

西蒙娜·莫哈姆松
<1%

丹尼爾·赫爾登
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

伊麗莎白·坦德·林克維斯特
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent opinion polls from Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus show Sweden’s Social Democrats holding a steady 32–34 percent lead ahead of the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, giving Magdalena Andersson the strongest claim to form the next government. This positioning reflects sustained voter dissatisfaction with the Tidö coalition’s handling of immigration enforcement and economic conditions under incumbent Ulf Kristersson. Kristersson’s April announcement of plans for a four-party majority government that would include the Sweden Democrats has not reversed the projected narrow Red-Green seat advantage. In Sweden’s proportional system the leader of the largest party within the leading bloc conventionally becomes prime minister, which continues to anchor trader consensus around Andersson while keeping Kristersson’s implied probability well behind.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions