South Korea’s consumer prices rose 2.6% year-over-year in April 2026, the fastest pace since July 2024 and up from 2.2% in March, as higher oil prices from Middle East tensions lifted transport and housing costs. This latest reading, matching consensus forecasts, has narrowed the gap between the leading 2.4–2.6% and 2.1–2.3% annual inflation bins for 2026, each trading near 38–39% implied probability. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether the April surge proves temporary or sustains into year-end, given the Bank of Korea’s 2.2% full-year projection and ongoing debates about halting rate cuts. Core inflation held steady at 2.2%, underscoring that energy-driven pressures remain the key swing factor for the annual outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於3.0%以上 43%
2.4%至2.6% 38.7%
1.5%至1.7% 8%
低於1.5% 5.9%
$11,072 交易量
$11,072 交易量
低於1.5%
6%
1.5%至1.7%
8%
1.8%至2.0%
31%
2.1%到2.3%
38%
2.4%至2.6%
39%
2.7% 至 2.9%
31%
3.0%以上
35%
3.0%以上 43%
2.4%至2.6% 38.7%
1.5%至1.7% 8%
低於1.5% 5.9%
$11,072 交易量
$11,072 交易量
低於1.5%
6%
1.5%至1.7%
8%
1.8%至2.0%
31%
2.1%到2.3%
38%
2.4%至2.6%
39%
2.7% 至 2.9%
31%
3.0%以上
35%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
市場開放時間: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea’s consumer prices rose 2.6% year-over-year in April 2026, the fastest pace since July 2024 and up from 2.2% in March, as higher oil prices from Middle East tensions lifted transport and housing costs. This latest reading, matching consensus forecasts, has narrowed the gap between the leading 2.4–2.6% and 2.1–2.3% annual inflation bins for 2026, each trading near 38–39% implied probability. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether the April surge proves temporary or sustains into year-end, given the Bank of Korea’s 2.2% full-year projection and ongoing debates about halting rate cuts. Core inflation held steady at 2.2%, underscoring that energy-driven pressures remain the key swing factor for the annual outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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