Recent confidential SEC filings and plans for a record $75 billion raise have positioned the 2.0T–2.5T range as the market leader by anchoring trader expectations around SpaceX’s ambitious June 2026 IPO target. Starlink’s rapid subscriber growth past nine million, combined with Starship development milestones and the February xAI merger, supports the high multiples implied by these outcomes. Traders weigh the company’s projected $15–24 billion revenue trajectory against comparable aerospace and connectivity multiples, while noting risks from regulatory reviews, launch cadence variability, and post-IPO governance scrutiny. The June listing window remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if filing details confirm or temper the upper-end valuation ambitions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$2,050,677 交易量
$2,050,677 交易量
低於 1.0 兆
3%
1.0 兆 - 1.5 兆
4%
1.5 兆 - 2.0 兆
23%
2.0兆-2.5兆
40%
2.5 兆至 3.0 兆
22%
3.0 兆 - 3.5 兆
7%
3.5兆+
5%
2028 年前不會上市
1%
$2,050,677 交易量
$2,050,677 交易量
低於 1.0 兆
3%
1.0 兆 - 1.5 兆
4%
1.5 兆 - 2.0 兆
23%
2.0兆-2.5兆
40%
2.5 兆至 3.0 兆
22%
3.0 兆 - 3.5 兆
7%
3.5兆+
5%
2028 年前不會上市
1%
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent confidential SEC filings and plans for a record $75 billion raise have positioned the 2.0T–2.5T range as the market leader by anchoring trader expectations around SpaceX’s ambitious June 2026 IPO target. Starlink’s rapid subscriber growth past nine million, combined with Starship development milestones and the February xAI merger, supports the high multiples implied by these outcomes. Traders weigh the company’s projected $15–24 billion revenue trajectory against comparable aerospace and connectivity multiples, while noting risks from regulatory reviews, launch cadence variability, and post-IPO governance scrutiny. The June listing window remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if filing details confirm or temper the upper-end valuation ambitions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions