Recent high-level diplomatic contacts between U.S. and Cuban officials, including a secret April 10 delegation meeting in Havana and CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s May 14 visit to discuss economic reforms, security cooperation, and prisoner releases, have shaped trader views on near-term engagement. President Trump’s executive orders imposing tariffs on oil suppliers to Cuba, combined with public statements that Havana is “asking for help” and open to a deal, have intensified pressure while signaling willingness to negotiate under strict conditions such as ending foreign intelligence ties and opening the economy. These developments occur against Cuba’s energy shortages and the administration’s maximum-pressure approach, with upcoming talks potentially hinging on goodwill steps like political prisoner releases before any broader summit or normalization steps.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$22,027 交易量
2026-06-30
May 31
10%
June 30
51%
$22,027 交易量
May 31
$19,746 交易量
10%
June 30
$2,281 交易量
51%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent high-level diplomatic contacts between U.S. and Cuban officials, including a secret April 10 delegation meeting in Havana and CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s May 14 visit to discuss economic reforms, security cooperation, and prisoner releases, have shaped trader views on near-term engagement. President Trump’s executive orders imposing tariffs on oil suppliers to Cuba, combined with public statements that Havana is “asking for help” and open to a deal, have intensified pressure while signaling willingness to negotiate under strict conditions such as ending foreign intelligence ties and opening the economy. These developments occur against Cuba’s energy shortages and the administration’s maximum-pressure approach, with upcoming talks potentially hinging on goodwill steps like political prisoner releases before any broader summit or normalization steps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
交易量
$22,027結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent high-level diplomatic contacts between U.S. and Cuban officials, including a secret April 10 delegation meeting in Havana and CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s May 14 visit to discuss economic reforms, security cooperation, and prisoner releases, have shaped trader views on near-term engagement. President Trump’s executive orders imposing tariffs on oil suppliers to Cuba, combined with public statements that Havana is “asking for help” and open to a deal, have intensified pressure while signaling willingness to negotiate under strict conditions such as ending foreign intelligence ties and opening the economy. These developments occur against Cuba’s energy shortages and the administration’s maximum-pressure approach, with upcoming talks potentially hinging on goodwill steps like political prisoner releases before any broader summit or normalization steps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Cuba by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Cuba relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Cuba, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$22,027結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent high-level diplomatic contacts between U.S. and Cuban officials, including a secret April 10 delegation meeting in Havana and CIA Director John Ratcliffe’s May 14 visit to discuss economic reforms, security cooperation, and prisoner releases, have shaped trader views on near-term engagement. President Trump’s executive orders imposing tariffs on oil suppliers to Cuba, combined with public statements that Havana is “asking for help” and open to a deal, have intensified pressure while signaling willingness to negotiate under strict conditions such as ending foreign intelligence ties and opening the economy. These developments occur against Cuba’s energy shortages and the administration’s maximum-pressure approach, with upcoming talks potentially hinging on goodwill steps like political prisoner releases before any broader summit or normalization steps.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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