Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman and Pakistan, remain the central driver of diplomatic prospects following rounds of talks in Muscat, Geneva, and Islamabad earlier in 2026. A temporary ceasefire took effect in April after initial sessions failed to produce a nuclear or broader agreement, with Iran submitting a new proposal in late April that US officials reviewed but found unsatisfactory by early May. President Trump has signaled openness to continued phone diplomacy while emphasizing demands on Iran's nuclear program and related issues, as mediators facilitate further contacts. No high-level bilateral meeting has been confirmed since the spring rounds, though regional actors continue shuttle efforts amid the existing truce.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$44,411,641 交易量
2026-05-15
6月10日
<1%
6月30日
37%
6月15日
5%
7月31日
47%
6月21日
17%
$44,411,641 交易量
6月10日
$147,428 交易量
<1%
6月30日
$3,312,043 交易量
37%
6月15日
$1,129,307 交易量
5%
7月31日
$356,439 交易量
47%
6月21日
$108,109 交易量
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman and Pakistan, remain the central driver of diplomatic prospects following rounds of talks in Muscat, Geneva, and Islamabad earlier in 2026. A temporary ceasefire took effect in April after initial sessions failed to produce a nuclear or broader agreement, with Iran submitting a new proposal in late April that US officials reviewed but found unsatisfactory by early May. President Trump has signaled openness to continued phone diplomacy while emphasizing demands on Iran's nuclear program and related issues, as mediators facilitate further contacts. No high-level bilateral meeting has been confirmed since the spring rounds, though regional actors continue shuttle efforts amid the existing truce.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Apr 28, 2026, 2:35 PM ET
交易量
$44,411,641結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 2:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman and Pakistan, remain the central driver of diplomatic prospects following rounds of talks in Muscat, Geneva, and Islamabad earlier in 2026. A temporary ceasefire took effect in April after initial sessions failed to produce a nuclear or broader agreement, with Iran submitting a new proposal in late April that US officials reviewed but found unsatisfactory by early May. President Trump has signaled openness to continued phone diplomacy while emphasizing demands on Iran's nuclear program and related issues, as mediators facilitate further contacts. No high-level bilateral meeting has been confirmed since the spring rounds, though regional actors continue shuttle efforts amid the existing truce.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$44,411,641結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 2:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, mediated primarily by Oman and Pakistan, remain the central driver of diplomatic prospects following rounds of talks in Muscat, Geneva, and Islamabad earlier in 2026. A temporary ceasefire took effect in April after initial sessions failed to produce a nuclear or broader agreement, with Iran submitting a new proposal in late April that US officials reviewed but found unsatisfactory by early May. President Trump has signaled openness to continued phone diplomacy while emphasizing demands on Iran's nuclear program and related issues, as mediators facilitate further contacts. No high-level bilateral meeting has been confirmed since the spring rounds, though regional actors continue shuttle efforts amid the existing truce.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions