Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen’s decisive advance from the August 2026 top-two primary, securing roughly 45 percent against a fragmented field, reinforces trader expectations in Washington’s 2nd district. The seat has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles, with Larsen posting comfortable general-election margins, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic. Limited Republican resources and the absence of a high-profile challenger further anchor the implied probability near 94 percent for the Democratic nominee. A significant late development—such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or pronounced national partisan shift—would be required to materially alter the outcome before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$17,895 交易量
$17,895 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
94%
共和黨
6%
$17,895 交易量
$17,895 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$11,575 交易量
94%
共和黨
$6,321 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen’s decisive advance from the August 2026 top-two primary, securing roughly 45 percent against a fragmented field, reinforces trader expectations in Washington’s 2nd district. The seat has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles, with Larsen posting comfortable general-election margins, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic. Limited Republican resources and the absence of a high-profile challenger further anchor the implied probability near 94 percent for the Democratic nominee. A significant late development—such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or pronounced national partisan shift—would be required to materially alter the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$17,895結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen’s decisive advance from the August 2026 top-two primary, securing roughly 45 percent against a fragmented field, reinforces trader expectations in Washington’s 2nd district. The seat has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles, with Larsen posting comfortable general-election margins, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic. Limited Republican resources and the absence of a high-profile challenger further anchor the implied probability near 94 percent for the Democratic nominee. A significant late development—such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or pronounced national partisan shift—would be required to materially alter the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,895結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen’s decisive advance from the August 2026 top-two primary, securing roughly 45 percent against a fragmented field, reinforces trader expectations in Washington’s 2nd district. The seat has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles, with Larsen posting comfortable general-election margins, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly Democratic. Limited Republican resources and the absence of a high-profile challenger further anchor the implied probability near 94 percent for the Democratic nominee. A significant late development—such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or pronounced national partisan shift—would be required to materially alter the outcome before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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