Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve chair concluded on May 15, 2026, driving the market’s heavy concentration on the May 15–22 and May 23–29 windows. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor cleared the procedural path for an immediate transition, while Powell’s decision to remain on the Board of Governors until 2028 clarified that only the chairmanship itself would change hands. Traders priced these near-term intervals highest because official statements, the final policy meeting, and the Senate vote all aligned with resolution in the second half of May, leaving later buckets with minimal implied probability absent any unexpected delay in Warsh’s swearing-in or last-minute procedural hold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 46.0%
May 23–29 31.4%
May 30–June 5 5.9%
June 6–12 2.6%
$169,755 交易量
$169,755 交易量
2026-07-03
May 15–22
46%
May 23–29
31%
May 30–June 5
6%
June 6–12
3%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 46.0%
May 23–29 31.4%
May 30–June 5 5.9%
June 6–12 2.6%
$169,755 交易量
$169,755 交易量
2026-07-03
May 15–22
$65,200 交易量
46%
May 23–29
$8,345 交易量
31%
May 30–June 5
$9,161 交易量
6%
June 6–12
$9,109 交易量
3%
June 13–19
$8,855 交易量
2%
June 20–26
$10,436 交易量
1%
June 27–July 3
$5,200 交易量
1%
After July 3
$16,497 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve chair concluded on May 15, 2026, driving the market’s heavy concentration on the May 15–22 and May 23–29 windows. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor cleared the procedural path for an immediate transition, while Powell’s decision to remain on the Board of Governors until 2028 clarified that only the chairmanship itself would change hands. Traders priced these near-term intervals highest because official statements, the final policy meeting, and the Senate vote all aligned with resolution in the second half of May, leaving later buckets with minimal implied probability absent any unexpected delay in Warsh’s swearing-in or last-minute procedural hold.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
交易量
$169,755結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve chair concluded on May 15, 2026, driving the market’s heavy concentration on the May 15–22 and May 23–29 windows. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor cleared the procedural path for an immediate transition, while Powell’s decision to remain on the Board of Governors until 2028 clarified that only the chairmanship itself would change hands. Traders priced these near-term intervals highest because official statements, the final policy meeting, and the Senate vote all aligned with resolution in the second half of May, leaving later buckets with minimal implied probability absent any unexpected delay in Warsh’s swearing-in or last-minute procedural hold.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$169,755結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve chair concluded on May 15, 2026, driving the market’s heavy concentration on the May 15–22 and May 23–29 windows. Senate confirmation of Kevin Warsh as his successor cleared the procedural path for an immediate transition, while Powell’s decision to remain on the Board of Governors until 2028 clarified that only the chairmanship itself would change hands. Traders priced these near-term intervals highest because official statements, the final policy meeting, and the Senate vote all aligned with resolution in the second half of May, leaving later buckets with minimal implied probability absent any unexpected delay in Warsh’s swearing-in or last-minute procedural hold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions