President Trump has continued to emphasize election security concerns during his second term, including investigations into prior voting processes and administration actions targeting noncitizen voter rolls ahead of the 2026 midterms. Recent developments include the ousting of election commission members and public statements linking foreign actors to potential threats, amid ongoing geopolitical tensions with nations such as Iran. With only days remaining until July 16, trader focus centers on any new official remarks or executive measures that could name specific countries. Historical patterns show such accusations often tie to diplomatic disputes or domestic policy priorities rather than verified incidents within short timeframes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-07-16
烏克蘭
26%
俄羅斯
23%
伊朗
38%
德國
5%
加拿大
5%
北韓
4%
以色列
4%
墨西哥
4%
中國
61%
$1,621 交易量
烏克蘭
$0 交易量
26%
俄羅斯
$220 交易量
23%
伊朗
$109 交易量
38%
德國
$60 交易量
5%
加拿大
$905 交易量
5%
北韓
$196 交易量
4%
以色列
$0 交易量
4%
墨西哥
$70 交易量
4%
中國
$91 交易量
61%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges that interference by the listed country has occurred in any US election held after the 2016 US presidential election between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns. Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify.
The alleged interference must be attributed to the government of the listed country, a state-affiliated entity, organization, or nationals of the listed country acting in that capacity. The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers").
A qualifying statement must definitively allege that election interference occurred. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify (e.g., "Did China interfere? Who knows," "If China interfered...", "They could easily interfere”).
A statement need not use the word "interference." Any phrasing that communicates the three elements above (e.g., "China stole the election," "Russia rigged the vote in Pennsylvania") will qualify.
Reposts, retweets, or shares of third-party content will qualify only if accompanied by original commentary from Trump that itself meets the criteria above, or if the repost includes an unambiguous endorsement of a qualifying claim (e.g., "TRUE!"). A bare repost without comment will not qualify.
Statements made by representatives will not alone qualify. Reports of private conversations, leaked audio not intended for public release, and secondhand accounts will not qualify.
Any public statement from the listed individual, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the listed individual begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their allegation falls outside the market’s timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements by Donald Trump.President Trump has continued to emphasize election security concerns during his second term, including investigations into prior voting processes and administration actions targeting noncitizen voter rolls ahead of the 2026 midterms. Recent developments include the ousting of election commission members and public statements linking foreign actors to potential threats, amid ongoing geopolitical tensions with nations such as Iran. With only days remaining until July 16, trader focus centers on any new official remarks or executive measures that could name specific countries. Historical patterns show such accusations often tie to diplomatic disputes or domestic policy priorities rather than verified incidents within short timeframes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges that interference by the listed country has occurred in any US election held after the 2016 US presidential election between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns. Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify.
The alleged interference must be attributed to the government of the listed country, a state-affiliated entity, organization, or nationals of the listed country acting in that capacity. The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers").
A qualifying statement must definitively allege that election interference occurred. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify (e.g., "Did China interfere? Who knows," "If China interfered...", "They could easily interfere”).
A statement need not use the word "interference." Any phrasing that communicates the three elements above (e.g., "China stole the election," "Russia rigged the vote in Pennsylvania") will qualify.
Reposts, retweets, or shares of third-party content will qualify only if accompanied by original commentary from Trump that itself meets the criteria above, or if the repost includes an unambiguous endorsement of a qualifying claim (e.g., "TRUE!"). A bare repost without comment will not qualify.
Statements made by representatives will not alone qualify. Reports of private conversations, leaked audio not intended for public release, and secondhand accounts will not qualify.
Any public statement from the listed individual, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the listed individual begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their allegation falls outside the market’s timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements by Donald Trump.
Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns. Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify.
The alleged interference must be attributed to the government of the listed country, a state-affiliated entity, organization, or nationals of the listed country acting in that capacity. The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers").
A qualifying statement must definitively allege that election interference occurred. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify (e.g., "Did China interfere? Who knows," "If China interfered...", "They could easily interfere”).
A statement need not use the word "interference." Any phrasing that communicates the three elements above (e.g., "China stole the election," "Russia rigged the vote in Pennsylvania") will qualify.
Reposts, retweets, or shares of third-party content will qualify only if accompanied by original commentary from Trump that itself meets the criteria above, or if the repost includes an unambiguous endorsement of a qualifying claim (e.g., "TRUE!"). A bare repost without comment will not qualify.
Statements made by representatives will not alone qualify. Reports of private conversations, leaked audio not intended for public release, and secondhand accounts will not qualify.
Any public statement from the listed individual, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the listed individual begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their allegation falls outside the market’s timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements by Donald Trump.
市場開放時間： Jul 13, 2026, 10:32 PM ET
交易量
$1,621結束日期
2026-07-16市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 10:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges that interference by the listed country has occurred in any US election held after the 2016 US presidential election between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns. Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify.
The alleged interference must be attributed to the government of the listed country, a state-affiliated entity, organization, or nationals of the listed country acting in that capacity. The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers").
A qualifying statement must definitively allege that election interference occurred. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify (e.g., "Did China interfere? Who knows," "If China interfered...", "They could easily interfere”).
A statement need not use the word "interference." Any phrasing that communicates the three elements above (e.g., "China stole the election," "Russia rigged the vote in Pennsylvania") will qualify.
Reposts, retweets, or shares of third-party content will qualify only if accompanied by original commentary from Trump that itself meets the criteria above, or if the repost includes an unambiguous endorsement of a qualifying claim (e.g., "TRUE!"). A bare repost without comment will not qualify.
Statements made by representatives will not alone qualify. Reports of private conversations, leaked audio not intended for public release, and secondhand accounts will not qualify.
Any public statement from the listed individual, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the listed individual begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their allegation falls outside the market’s timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements by Donald Trump.President Trump has continued to emphasize election security concerns during his second term, including investigations into prior voting processes and administration actions targeting noncitizen voter rolls ahead of the 2026 midterms. Recent developments include the ousting of election commission members and public statements linking foreign actors to potential threats, amid ongoing geopolitical tensions with nations such as Iran. With only days remaining until July 16, trader focus centers on any new official remarks or executive measures that could name specific countries. Historical patterns show such accusations often tie to diplomatic disputes or domestic policy priorities rather than verified incidents within short timeframes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges that interference by the listed country has occurred in any US election held after the 2016 US presidential election between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns. Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify.
The alleged interference must be attributed to the government of the listed country, a state-affiliated entity, organization, or nationals of the listed country acting in that capacity. The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers").
A qualifying statement must definitively allege that election interference occurred. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify (e.g., "Did China interfere? Who knows," "If China interfered...", "They could easily interfere”).
A statement need not use the word "interference." Any phrasing that communicates the three elements above (e.g., "China stole the election," "Russia rigged the vote in Pennsylvania") will qualify.
Reposts, retweets, or shares of third-party content will qualify only if accompanied by original commentary from Trump that itself meets the criteria above, or if the repost includes an unambiguous endorsement of a qualifying claim (e.g., "TRUE!"). A bare repost without comment will not qualify.
Statements made by representatives will not alone qualify. Reports of private conversations, leaked audio not intended for public release, and secondhand accounts will not qualify.
Any public statement from the listed individual, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the listed individual begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their allegation falls outside the market’s timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements by Donald Trump.
Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns. Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify.
The alleged interference must be attributed to the government of the listed country, a state-affiliated entity, organization, or nationals of the listed country acting in that capacity. The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers").
A qualifying statement must definitively allege that election interference occurred. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify (e.g., "Did China interfere? Who knows," "If China interfered...", "They could easily interfere”).
A statement need not use the word "interference." Any phrasing that communicates the three elements above (e.g., "China stole the election," "Russia rigged the vote in Pennsylvania") will qualify.
Reposts, retweets, or shares of third-party content will qualify only if accompanied by original commentary from Trump that itself meets the criteria above, or if the repost includes an unambiguous endorsement of a qualifying claim (e.g., "TRUE!"). A bare repost without comment will not qualify.
Statements made by representatives will not alone qualify. Reports of private conversations, leaked audio not intended for public release, and secondhand accounts will not qualify.
Any public statement from the listed individual, written or verbal, will qualify. Speeches in which the listed individual begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their allegation falls outside the market’s timeframe.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements by Donald Trump.
交易量
$1,621結束日期
2026-07-16市場開放時間
Jul 13, 2026, 10:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has continued to emphasize election security concerns during his second term, including investigations into prior voting processes and administration actions targeting noncitizen voter rolls ahead of the 2026 midterms. Recent developments include the ousting of election commission members and public statements linking foreign actors to potential threats, amid ongoing geopolitical tensions with nations such as Iran. With only days remaining until July 16, trader focus centers on any new official remarks or executive measures that could name specific countries. Historical patterns show such accusations often tie to diplomatic disputes or domestic policy priorities rather than verified incidents within short timeframes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions