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icon for 哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？
政治·中東

哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？

icon for 哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？
政治·中東

哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？

1月 1, 2027

1月 1, 2027

$1,667,968 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$1,667,968 交易量

Polymarket

科威特

$76,262 交易量

9%

索馬利蘭

$117,089 交易量

9%

沙烏地阿拉伯

$352,096 交易量

9%

黎巴嫩

$77,035 交易量

8%

敘利亞

$164,512 交易量

7%

Jordan

$9,994 交易量

7%

Egypt

$7,414 交易量

6%

Qatar

$8,800 交易量

5%

阿曼

$182,170 交易量

5%

阿塞拜疆

$175,784 交易量

5%

Pakistan

$9,051 交易量

3%

Turkey

$487,763 交易量

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Kuwait has emerged as the most frequently cited near-term candidate following Israeli Ambassador to the UAE Yossi Shelley’s mid-September 2026 statement that another country, possibly Kuwait, could accede within four to six months. This comes after Kazakhstan’s formal accession in November 2025, the first expansion since the original 2020 signatories. Saudi Arabia remains the highest-profile prospect but faces persistent hurdles, including Riyadh’s insistence on a credible Palestinian statehood pathway before normalization and recent defense ties with Pakistan that complicate sequencing. U.S. officials have tied Saudi civil nuclear cooperation to Abraham Accords membership, yet no breakthrough has materialized. Other mentioned possibilities include Azerbaijan, Oman, or post-Hezbollah-disarmament Lebanon, though none have advanced concrete timelines. Trader focus centers on whether Kuwaiti talks accelerate amid ongoing U.S. and Israeli diplomatic pressure before year-end 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,667,968
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Dec 31, 2025, 4:26 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Kuwait has emerged as the most frequently cited near-term candidate following Israeli Ambassador to the UAE Yossi Shelley’s mid-September 2026 statement that another country, possibly Kuwait, could accede within four to six months. This comes after Kazakhstan’s formal accession in November 2025, the first expansion since the original 2020 signatories. Saudi Arabia remains the highest-profile prospect but faces persistent hurdles, including Riyadh’s insistence on a credible Palestinian statehood pathway before normalization and recent defense ties with Pakistan that complicate sequencing. U.S. officials have tied Saudi civil nuclear cooperation to Abraham Accords membership, yet no breakthrough has materialized. Other mentioned possibilities include Azerbaijan, Oman, or post-Hezbollah-disarmament Lebanon, though none have advanced concrete timelines. Trader focus centers on whether Kuwaiti talks accelerate amid ongoing U.S. and Israeli diplomatic pressure before year-end 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,667,968
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Dec 31, 2025, 4:26 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "科威特" at 9%, followed by "索馬利蘭" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？" is "科威特" at just 9%, with "索馬利蘭" close behind at 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "哪個國家將在2027年之前加入亞伯拉罕協定？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.