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icon for 誰將投票確認Jay Clayton為國家情報總監
政治·DNI

誰將投票確認Jay Clayton為國家情報總監

icon for 誰將投票確認Jay Clayton為國家情報總監
政治·DNI

誰將投票確認Jay Clayton為國家情報總監

最新
2027-01-01
Polymarket

$1,553 交易量

Polymarket

Thom Tillis

$201 交易量

83%

米奇·麥康奈

$108 交易量

53%

約翰·費特曼

$0 交易量

44%

莉莎·穆爾科斯基

$43 交易量

50%

蘇珊·柯林斯

$35 交易量

51%

約翰·柯蒂斯

$67 交易量

59%

丹·沙利文

$972 交易量

56%

蘭德·保羅

$36 交易量

55%

約翰·科寧

$48 交易量

52%

比爾·卡西迪

$43 交易量

50%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting. President Donald Trump’s June 17 Truth Social post abruptly postponed Jay Clayton’s scheduled Senate Intelligence Committee confirmation hearing, tying progress to Senate approval of his replacement as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and advancement of a voter ID measure. Clayton, the current SDNY U.S. Attorney and former SEC chair, had been positioned for rapid confirmation to stabilize leadership of the intelligence community amid an expired Section 702 surveillance authority. The Senate had initially fast-tracked the process with bipartisan praise for Clayton’s prosecutorial and regulatory experience, though acting DNI Bill Pulte remains in place. Resolution hinges on Senate vote thresholds, committee rescheduling, and any procedural holds or linked legislation before full confirmation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,553
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 11:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting. President Donald Trump’s June 17 Truth Social post abruptly postponed Jay Clayton’s scheduled Senate Intelligence Committee confirmation hearing, tying progress to Senate approval of his replacement as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and advancement of a voter ID measure. Clayton, the current SDNY U.S. Attorney and former SEC chair, had been positioned for rapid confirmation to stabilize leadership of the intelligence community amid an expired Section 702 surveillance authority. The Senate had initially fast-tracked the process with bipartisan praise for Clayton’s prosecutorial and regulatory experience, though acting DNI Bill Pulte remains in place. Resolution hinges on Senate vote thresholds, committee rescheduling, and any procedural holds or linked legislation before full confirmation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,553
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 11:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將投票確認Jay Clayton為國家情報總監" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Thom Tillis" at 83%, followed by "約翰·柯蒂斯" at 59%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"誰將投票確認Jay Clayton為國家情報總監" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "誰將投票確認Jay Clayton為國家情報總監," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將投票確認Jay Clayton為國家情報總監" is "Thom Tillis" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "約翰·柯蒂斯" at 59%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將投票確認Jay Clayton為國家情報總監" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.