Despite diplomatic strains with several nations, including public petitions in Canada targeting U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra over trade and annexation rhetoric, governments have avoided declaring American envoys persona non grata. Prime Minister Mark Carney explicitly ruled out expulsion, while similar frictions with Brazil centered on reciprocal visa actions rather than removal of U.S. personnel. Recent months have featured U.S. recalls of its own diplomats, French apologies resolving UN-related spats, and other countries expelling non-U.S. officials, yet no verified instances of host nations expelling sitting U.S. ambassadors have occurred since early 2025 cases. This pattern, combined with routine diplomatic channels and the short timeline to year-end, underpins trader consensus favoring no such action by December 31.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
9% 機率
$33,023 交易量
$33,023 交易量
2026-12-31
是
9% 機率
$33,023 交易量
$33,023 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Despite diplomatic strains with several nations, including public petitions in Canada targeting U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra over trade and annexation rhetoric, governments have avoided declaring American envoys persona non grata. Prime Minister Mark Carney explicitly ruled out expulsion, while similar frictions with Brazil centered on reciprocal visa actions rather than removal of U.S. personnel. Recent months have featured U.S. recalls of its own diplomats, French apologies resolving UN-related spats, and other countries expelling non-U.S. officials, yet no verified instances of host nations expelling sitting U.S. ambassadors have occurred since early 2025 cases. This pattern, combined with routine diplomatic channels and the short timeline to year-end, underpins trader consensus favoring no such action by December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
交易量
$33,023結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Despite diplomatic strains with several nations, including public petitions in Canada targeting U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra over trade and annexation rhetoric, governments have avoided declaring American envoys persona non grata. Prime Minister Mark Carney explicitly ruled out expulsion, while similar frictions with Brazil centered on reciprocal visa actions rather than removal of U.S. personnel. Recent months have featured U.S. recalls of its own diplomats, French apologies resolving UN-related spats, and other countries expelling non-U.S. officials, yet no verified instances of host nations expelling sitting U.S. ambassadors have occurred since early 2025 cases. This pattern, combined with routine diplomatic channels and the short timeline to year-end, underpins trader consensus favoring no such action by December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$33,023結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETDespite diplomatic strains with several nations, including public petitions in Canada targeting U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra over trade and annexation rhetoric, governments have avoided declaring American envoys persona non grata. Prime Minister Mark Carney explicitly ruled out expulsion, while similar frictions with Brazil centered on reciprocal visa actions rather than removal of U.S. personnel. Recent months have featured U.S. recalls of its own diplomats, French apologies resolving UN-related spats, and other countries expelling non-U.S. officials, yet no verified instances of host nations expelling sitting U.S. ambassadors have occurred since early 2025 cases. This pattern, combined with routine diplomatic channels and the short timeline to year-end, underpins trader consensus favoring no such action by December 31.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions