Recent diplomatic strains, including Canadian public pressure over U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra’s comments and Brazil’s visa disputes with Washington, have not escalated to formal expulsions of U.S. envoys. The Trump administration’s recall of dozens of its own ambassadors and selective visa actions have drawn responses from affected capitals, yet these have remained within standard diplomatic channels without triggering persona non grata declarations. No new major bilateral crises have emerged in recent weeks that would alter established patterns of restraint. Trader consensus reflected in the 75.5% probability on “No” aligns with the limited number of active flashpoints and the infrequency of such measures absent acute breakdowns in relations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
9% 機率
$33,023 交易量
$33,023 交易量
2026-12-31
是
9% 機率
$33,023 交易量
$33,023 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent diplomatic strains, including Canadian public pressure over U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra’s comments and Brazil’s visa disputes with Washington, have not escalated to formal expulsions of U.S. envoys. The Trump administration’s recall of dozens of its own ambassadors and selective visa actions have drawn responses from affected capitals, yet these have remained within standard diplomatic channels without triggering persona non grata declarations. No new major bilateral crises have emerged in recent weeks that would alter established patterns of restraint. Trader consensus reflected in the 75.5% probability on “No” aligns with the limited number of active flashpoints and the infrequency of such measures absent acute breakdowns in relations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
交易量
$33,023結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent diplomatic strains, including Canadian public pressure over U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra’s comments and Brazil’s visa disputes with Washington, have not escalated to formal expulsions of U.S. envoys. The Trump administration’s recall of dozens of its own ambassadors and selective visa actions have drawn responses from affected capitals, yet these have remained within standard diplomatic channels without triggering persona non grata declarations. No new major bilateral crises have emerged in recent weeks that would alter established patterns of restraint. Trader consensus reflected in the 75.5% probability on “No” aligns with the limited number of active flashpoints and the infrequency of such measures absent acute breakdowns in relations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$33,023結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETRecent diplomatic strains, including Canadian public pressure over U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra’s comments and Brazil’s visa disputes with Washington, have not escalated to formal expulsions of U.S. envoys. The Trump administration’s recall of dozens of its own ambassadors and selective visa actions have drawn responses from affected capitals, yet these have remained within standard diplomatic channels without triggering persona non grata declarations. No new major bilateral crises have emerged in recent weeks that would alter established patterns of restraint. Trader consensus reflected in the 75.5% probability on “No” aligns with the limited number of active flashpoints and the infrequency of such measures absent acute breakdowns in relations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions