Microsoft's fiscal fourth-quarter results, reported July 29 with $90 billion in revenue (up 18% year-over-year) and robust Microsoft Cloud growth, remain the dominant driver of trader sentiment heading into the week of August 24. Shares have extended gains post-earnings to trade near $483, supported by analyst actions including Goldman Sachs adding the stock to its conviction list with a $640 target and broader consensus around $560. Key dynamics include sustained Azure momentum offset by elevated capital expenditures and margin considerations, while macro factors such as interest-rate expectations and risk appetite influence near-term volatility. No major catalysts are scheduled immediately, leaving earnings momentum and sector rotation as the primary variables shaping implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於↑ $532.50
11%
↑ $525
9%
↑ $517.50
7%
↑ $510
11%
↑ $502.50
19%
↑ $495
53%
↑ $487.50
88%
↓ $480
83%
↓ $472.50
44%
↓ $465
18%
↓ $457.50
9%
↓ $450
13%
↓ $442.50
15%
↓ $435
10%
$202 交易量
↑ $532.50
11%
↑ $525
9%
↑ $517.50
7%
↑ $510
11%
↑ $502.50
19%
↑ $495
53%
↑ $487.50
88%
↓ $480
83%
↓ $472.50
44%
↓ $465
18%
↓ $457.50
9%
↓ $450
13%
↓ $442.50
15%
↓ $435
10%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Microsoft's fiscal fourth-quarter results, reported July 29 with $90 billion in revenue (up 18% year-over-year) and robust Microsoft Cloud growth, remain the dominant driver of trader sentiment heading into the week of August 24. Shares have extended gains post-earnings to trade near $483, supported by analyst actions including Goldman Sachs adding the stock to its conviction list with a $640 target and broader consensus around $560. Key dynamics include sustained Azure momentum offset by elevated capital expenditures and margin considerations, while macro factors such as interest-rate expectations and risk appetite influence near-term volatility. No major catalysts are scheduled immediately, leaving earnings momentum and sector rotation as the primary variables shaping implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions