Argentina's status as defending champions with Lionel Messi anchoring an elite squad positions them as the clear group favorite in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflected in the 71.5% implied probability. The expanded 48-team format and Group J schedule—starting with Argentina versus Algeria on June 16—favor the South Americans' depth and recent major-tournament pedigree over Austria's return after a 28-year absence under Ralf Rangnick, Algeria's experienced campaign, and Jordan's debut. Trader consensus accounts for Argentina's superior head-to-head history and form against comparable opposition, while the battle for second remains more open among the European and African sides. No major pre-tournament roster changes have altered this hierarchy in recent weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於阿根廷 72%
奧地利 19%
阿爾及利亞 9.4%
約旦 1.5%
$273,001 交易量
$273,001 交易量
阿根廷
72%
奧地利
19%
阿爾及利亞
9%
約旦
2%
阿根廷 72%
奧地利 19%
阿爾及利亞 9.4%
約旦 1.5%
$273,001 交易量
$273,001 交易量
阿根廷
72%
奧地利
19%
阿爾及利亞
9%
約旦
2%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's status as defending champions with Lionel Messi anchoring an elite squad positions them as the clear group favorite in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflected in the 71.5% implied probability. The expanded 48-team format and Group J schedule—starting with Argentina versus Algeria on June 16—favor the South Americans' depth and recent major-tournament pedigree over Austria's return after a 28-year absence under Ralf Rangnick, Algeria's experienced campaign, and Jordan's debut. Trader consensus accounts for Argentina's superior head-to-head history and form against comparable opposition, while the battle for second remains more open among the European and African sides. No major pre-tournament roster changes have altered this hierarchy in recent weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions