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政府關閉 預測與賠率

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Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

16%

June 30

$208K 交易量

$52.8K Liq.

15

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

50%

$186K 交易量

$11.4K Liq.

74

Ends 8 個月內

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?

20%

$13.1K 交易量

$2.7K Liq.

1

Ends 15 天內

Who will Bernie endorse?

Who will Bernie endorse?

90%

James Talarico - TX-Sen

$164K 交易量

$10.4K Liq.

4

Ends 6 個月內

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in May?

What Trump-named things will Trump mention in May?

52%

Trump Family

$3.6K 交易量

$1.7K Liq.

Ends 15 天內

Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

50%

Ken Paxton - TX-Sen

$141K 交易量

$2.2K Liq.

6

Ends 6 個月內

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

78%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$323K 交易量

$18.2K Liq.

12

Ends 6 個月內

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

3%

$105K 交易量

$5.6K Liq.

2

Ends 大約 2 個月內

US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

<1%

$14.0K 交易量

$13.2K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 19 小時前

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

16%

$19.8K 交易量

$3.7K Liq.

Ends 15 天內

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

73%

December 31, 2026

$7.3K 交易量

$73 Liq.

1

Ends 8 個月內

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

29%

May 31

$30.3K 交易量

$86 Liq.

4

Ends 15 天內

Tim Walz charged by...?

Tim Walz charged by...?

17%

Before 2027

$503K 交易量

$923 Liq.

48

Ends 大約 2 個月前

Austin Peay Governors vs. Stetson Hatters (W)

Austin Peay Governors vs. Stetson Hatters (W)

Austin Peay Governors

$10 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 4 個月前

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

57%

200+

$24.0K 交易量

$23.6K Liq.

Ends 4 天內

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

33%

160-179

$7.7K 交易量

$21.7K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in May?

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in May?

42%

8+

$0 交易量

$1.4K Liq.

Ends 15 天內

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

53%

June 30

$18M 交易量

$262K today

$258K Liq.

462

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

9%

$10.7K 交易量

$4.2K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

85%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1.2K 交易量

$73.2K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 政府關閉.

Polymarket currently hosts 614 active markets for 政府關閉 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $19.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 53% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 政府關閉 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.