President Trump issued an executive order in March 2025 directing the dismantling of the Department of Education, and Secretary Linda McMahon has since reduced the agency's workforce by nearly half while transferring select programs to other departments through interagency agreements. Full elimination, however, requires congressional legislation to repeal the department's statutory basis, a step that lacks sufficient Republican support in the current Congress. Recent hearings have highlighted these procedural barriers, with lawmakers noting that core functions such as student aid administration and civil rights enforcement continue uninterrupted. Traders assign an 88 percent implied probability to the "No" outcome through 2026, reflecting the structural limits on unilateral executive action and the absence of legislative momentum for formal closure before the 2027 deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$10,701 交易量
$10,701 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$10,701 交易量
$10,701 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump issued an executive order in March 2025 directing the dismantling of the Department of Education, and Secretary Linda McMahon has since reduced the agency's workforce by nearly half while transferring select programs to other departments through interagency agreements. Full elimination, however, requires congressional legislation to repeal the department's statutory basis, a step that lacks sufficient Republican support in the current Congress. Recent hearings have highlighted these procedural barriers, with lawmakers noting that core functions such as student aid administration and civil rights enforcement continue uninterrupted. Traders assign an 88 percent implied probability to the "No" outcome through 2026, reflecting the structural limits on unilateral executive action and the absence of legislative momentum for formal closure before the 2027 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ET
交易量
$10,701結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump issued an executive order in March 2025 directing the dismantling of the Department of Education, and Secretary Linda McMahon has since reduced the agency's workforce by nearly half while transferring select programs to other departments through interagency agreements. Full elimination, however, requires congressional legislation to repeal the department's statutory basis, a step that lacks sufficient Republican support in the current Congress. Recent hearings have highlighted these procedural barriers, with lawmakers noting that core functions such as student aid administration and civil rights enforcement continue uninterrupted. Traders assign an 88 percent implied probability to the "No" outcome through 2026, reflecting the structural limits on unilateral executive action and the absence of legislative momentum for formal closure before the 2027 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$10,701結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump issued an executive order in March 2025 directing the dismantling of the Department of Education, and Secretary Linda McMahon has since reduced the agency's workforce by nearly half while transferring select programs to other departments through interagency agreements. Full elimination, however, requires congressional legislation to repeal the department's statutory basis, a step that lacks sufficient Republican support in the current Congress. Recent hearings have highlighted these procedural barriers, with lawmakers noting that core functions such as student aid administration and civil rights enforcement continue uninterrupted. Traders assign an 88 percent implied probability to the "No" outcome through 2026, reflecting the structural limits on unilateral executive action and the absence of legislative momentum for formal closure before the 2027 deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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