Congress enacted and President Trump signed a bipartisan continuing resolution in early September 2026 that extends federal funding at current levels through December 11, providing clear statutory authority for agency operations past the September 30 fiscal year-end. Both chambers approved the measure by wide margins after multiple prior funding lapses in 2025 and 2026, with leaders prioritizing avoidance of another shutdown ahead of November midterms. No full-year appropriations bills for fiscal 2027 have advanced to completion, yet the enacted stopgap directly resolves the October 1 deadline. Trader consensus at 98.9% for no lapse reflects this enacted extension; remote scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected legal challenge to the measure or a last-minute procedural reversal, though none have materialized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於1% 機率
最新
最新
2026-10-01
1% 機率
最新
最新
2026-10-01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress enacted and President Trump signed a bipartisan continuing resolution in early September 2026 that extends federal funding at current levels through December 11, providing clear statutory authority for agency operations past the September 30 fiscal year-end. Both chambers approved the measure by wide margins after multiple prior funding lapses in 2025 and 2026, with leaders prioritizing avoidance of another shutdown ahead of November midterms. No full-year appropriations bills for fiscal 2027 have advanced to completion, yet the enacted stopgap directly resolves the October 1 deadline. Trader consensus at 98.9% for no lapse reflects this enacted extension; remote scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected legal challenge to the measure or a last-minute procedural reversal, though none have materialized.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,071結束日期
2026-10-02市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congress enacted and President Trump signed a bipartisan continuing resolution in early September 2026 that extends federal funding at current levels through December 11, providing clear statutory authority for agency operations past the September 30 fiscal year-end. Both chambers approved the measure by wide margins after multiple prior funding lapses in 2025 and 2026, with leaders prioritizing avoidance of another shutdown ahead of November midterms. No full-year appropriations bills for fiscal 2027 have advanced to completion, yet the enacted stopgap directly resolves the October 1 deadline. Trader consensus at 98.9% for no lapse reflects this enacted extension; remote scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected legal challenge to the measure or a last-minute procedural reversal, though none have materialized.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,071結束日期
2026-10-02市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETCongress enacted and President Trump signed a bipartisan continuing resolution in early September 2026 that extends federal funding at current levels through December 11, providing clear statutory authority for agency operations past the September 30 fiscal year-end. Both chambers approved the measure by wide margins after multiple prior funding lapses in 2025 and 2026, with leaders prioritizing avoidance of another shutdown ahead of November midterms. No full-year appropriations bills for fiscal 2027 have advanced to completion, yet the enacted stopgap directly resolves the October 1 deadline. Trader consensus at 98.9% for no lapse reflects this enacted extension; remote scenarios that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected legal challenge to the measure or a last-minute procedural reversal, though none have materialized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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