New York’s July 2026 executive order (EO 62) establishing the first statewide pause on permits for data centers 50 MW and larger has anchored trader sentiment, demonstrating that state-level action is feasible amid AI-driven demand surges straining power grids and water supplies. Hundreds of local moratoriums have passed in 2026—far exceeding prior years—while legislatures in states including Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Oregon continue debating similar measures through year-end sessions. This momentum, coupled with ongoing utility cost and environmental reviews, supports the 68% implied probability for at least one state enactment by December 31, though traders weigh risks such as gubernatorial vetoes, narrow legislative windows, and potential court challenges that could limit further outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
是
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Jul 7, 2026, 9:23 PM ET
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
New York’s July 2026 executive order (EO 62) establishing the first statewide pause on permits for data centers 50 MW and larger has anchored trader sentiment, demonstrating that state-level action is feasible amid AI-driven demand surges straining power grids and water supplies. Hundreds of local moratoriums have passed in 2026—far exceeding prior years—while legislatures in states including Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Oregon continue debating similar measures through year-end sessions. This momentum, coupled with ongoing utility cost and environmental reviews, supports the 68% implied probability for at least one state enactment by December 31, though traders weigh risks such as gubernatorial vetoes, narrow legislative windows, and potential court challenges that could limit further outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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