Recent floor crossings by opposition MPs have strengthened Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal minority government, with five defections since November 2025 bringing the party within one seat of a majority ahead of April by-elections. The most recent occurred on April 8 when longtime Conservative MP Marilyn Gladu joined the Liberals, following earlier switches by Chris d’Entremont, Michael Ma, Matt Jeneroux, and NDP member Lori Idlout. These moves reflect individual MPs citing alignment with Carney’s economic agenda amid ongoing parliamentary negotiations. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre has criticized the changes as undermining voter intent from the prior election, while public polling shows divided views on the practice. No additional crossings have occurred in the past month, leaving the current seat distribution stable as Parliament continues.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-06-30
May 31
19%
$1,868 交易量
May 31
$255 交易量
19%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings by opposition MPs have strengthened Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal minority government, with five defections since November 2025 bringing the party within one seat of a majority ahead of April by-elections. The most recent occurred on April 8 when longtime Conservative MP Marilyn Gladu joined the Liberals, following earlier switches by Chris d’Entremont, Michael Ma, Matt Jeneroux, and NDP member Lori Idlout. These moves reflect individual MPs citing alignment with Carney’s economic agenda amid ongoing parliamentary negotiations. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre has criticized the changes as undermining voter intent from the prior election, while public polling shows divided views on the practice. No additional crossings have occurred in the past month, leaving the current seat distribution stable as Parliament continues.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
交易量
$1,868结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings by opposition MPs have strengthened Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal minority government, with five defections since November 2025 bringing the party within one seat of a majority ahead of April by-elections. The most recent occurred on April 8 when longtime Conservative MP Marilyn Gladu joined the Liberals, following earlier switches by Chris d’Entremont, Michael Ma, Matt Jeneroux, and NDP member Lori Idlout. These moves reflect individual MPs citing alignment with Carney’s economic agenda amid ongoing parliamentary negotiations. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre has criticized the changes as undermining voter intent from the prior election, while public polling shows divided views on the practice. No additional crossings have occurred in the past month, leaving the current seat distribution stable as Parliament continues.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,868结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent floor crossings by opposition MPs have strengthened Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal minority government, with five defections since November 2025 bringing the party within one seat of a majority ahead of April by-elections. The most recent occurred on April 8 when longtime Conservative MP Marilyn Gladu joined the Liberals, following earlier switches by Chris d’Entremont, Michael Ma, Matt Jeneroux, and NDP member Lori Idlout. These moves reflect individual MPs citing alignment with Carney’s economic agenda amid ongoing parliamentary negotiations. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre has criticized the changes as undermining voter intent from the prior election, while public polling shows divided views on the practice. No additional crossings have occurred in the past month, leaving the current seat distribution stable as Parliament continues.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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